Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Las Vegas Lights play Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 04:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Las Vegas Lights 80%, Lexington 64%. Over 2.5: Las Vegas Lights 67%, Lexington 64%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lexington has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.32. Las Vegas Lights: 10.7 shots per match, Lexington: 12.2.
Match halves
Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87. Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win for Las Vegas Lights; at home they have 50% wins, 50% draws and 0% losses, scoring on average 1.0 goals and conceding only 0.5 goals per match. Their home xG is 1.41 versus an xG against of 0.86, and the hosts average 12.5 shots and 5.0 on target per game with a conversion rate of 8%. Lexington have no away wins (0%), draws account for 67% of results, and away the visitors average 0.33 goals per match and fail to score in 67% of their road games. The visitors have lower chance-creation (2.67 shots on target, conversion 4%) and a higher xG against (1.33) and concede on average 1.0 goal away, which limits their prospects. Considering the superior quality of chances and finishing of the home side alongside the visitors’ scoring issues, I rate the probability at 62% for a home win, 23% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lexington is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.8 pts / match - Lexington
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lexington is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.43 goals / match - Lexington
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under — Lexington
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.36 pts / match - Lexington
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Las Vegas Lights
Lexington
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Las Vegas Lights 1 - 1 - 0 Lexington. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 2:1 Lexington. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 1, Lexington won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.53 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 64% of Lexington's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and Lexington in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lexington 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
The statistical background for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.