Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Las Vegas Lights played San Antonio in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Cashman Field. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. San Antonio: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.31 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. San Antonio scores 1.12 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Las Vegas Lights 65%, San Antonio 46%. Over 2.5: Las Vegas Lights 50%, San Antonio 42%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Las Vegas Lights has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.38. Las Vegas Lights: 12.2 shots per match, San Antonio: 12.3.
Match halves
Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.69. San Antonio: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (7 goals). San Antonio: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-1. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw looks the most likely outcome: Las Vegas Lights have drawn 38% of their home matches, while San Antonio have drawn 46% of their away games. The visitors have shared the points in 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 2 goals in that span, although they have scored only 1 themselves. The hosts have the edge in chance creation at home: their average xG is 1.57, compared with San Antonio’s 1.14 away from home, and they also register more shots on target — 4.08 versus 2.85 per match. However, this has not translated into a clear results advantage, as Las Vegas average 1.08 goals at home and have lost 3 of their last 5 matches. The visitors’ recent defensive solidity, combined with both teams’ limited scoring output, points to a closely contested, low-scoring game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication that at least one team will fail to score is San Antonio’s recent attacking form: just 1 goal in 5 matches, despite averaging 1.45 xG. Las Vegas kept a clean sheet in 46% of matches, while San Antonio failed to score in 38% of its games, further weakening the prospects of an away goal. The hosts have also struggled to find the net: they failed to score in 46% of matches, despite averaging 1.62 xG against the 1.44 xG conceded by San Antonio. In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 40% of Las Vegas’s games and just 20% of San Antonio’s, making BTTS - No more likely than goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In matches involving either team this season, 3 goals or fewer were scored in 85% of cases, providing a strong indication in favor of Under 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals landed only once in each team’s last 5 matches, while San Antonio scored just 1 goal over that span. Las Vegas average 1.08 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 46% of games, making a high-scoring performance from the visitors difficult to expect. Although the hosts’ xG is 1.62, their actual average is 0.54 goals lower, supporting a more conservative forecast. With a total of 2.10 goals expected, Under 3.5 offers a clearer edge than the lower goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for a draw at half-time is San Antonio’s recent run: all five of the visitors’ last matches were level at the break, while Las Vegas Lights were drawing at half-time in 54% of their matches this season. A draw at full-time is also well supported, as San Antonio have drawn four of their last five matches, scoring an average of just 0.2 goals and conceding 0.4 during that span. Across the season, draws account for 46% of the visitors’ results and 38% of the hosts’. Las Vegas have the edge in chance quality, with an average xG of 1.62 compared with their opponents’ 1.14, so a home win after a draw at the break remains a notable alternative. However, the hosts have lost three of their last five matches, which, combined with the visitors’ low scoring output, points more towards X/X than a decisive result in either team’s favour.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Antonio is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.2 pts / match - San Antonio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.12 goals / match - San Antonio
San Antonio is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.08 goals / match - San Antonio
Las Vegas Lights scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
San Antonio scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under - San Antonio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Antonio is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.54 pts / match - San Antonio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Las Vegas Lights
San Antonio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.77 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 54% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Las Vegas Lights 2 - 2 - 1 San Antonio. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 1:0 San Antonio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and San Antonio?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 2, San Antonio won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.31 goals per game on average and San Antonio 1.12. The USL Championship average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 46% of San Antonio's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and San Antonio in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and San Antonio 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?
The statistical background for Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.