Lazio vs AC Milan: match statistics
Lazio vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lazio played AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Olimpico. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Lazio: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match. AC Milan: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lazio scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. AC Milan scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lazio 33%, AC Milan 67%. Over 2.5: Lazio 33%, AC Milan 33%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lazio has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.34. Lazio: 14.7 shots per match, AC Milan: 12.7.
Match halves
Lazio: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. AC Milan: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.67.
Goals by minute
Lazio: 16-30 (1 goals). AC Milan: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lazio have recorded 4 wins in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game over that period compared with AC Milan’s 2.0. At home, the hosts won their only match so far, kept a clean sheet, and conceded just 0.82 xG on average. Milan remain unbeaten away from home, but in 2 away matches they have managed just 1 win and 1 draw, conceding an average of 1 goal per game and failing to keep a clean sheet. Lazio create chances worth an average of 1.45 xG at home, higher than Milan’s 1.18 xG away, while also registering 15 shots per match compared with 11 for their opponents. The visitors are clinical, averaging 1.5 away goals with a 14% shot conversion rate, so a draw remains a realistic outcome, but Lazio’s slight edge in chance quality and defensive solidity gives them the advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Lazio’s defence: the hosts have not conceded a goal in the league yet, maintaining a 100% clean-sheet record, while their average xG conceded is only 0.97. Milan score an average of 1.5 goals but create just 1.18 xG per match and register 2.5 shots on target, which may not be enough against such a solid defence. Lazio, on the other hand, should have good conditions to score, as they generate 1.69 xG and register 5.0 shots on target, while Milan concede an average of 1.0 goal and have not kept a clean sheet. The last five matches provide a moderate signal in favour of both teams scoring, with BTTS rates of 40% for Lazio and 60% for Milan, but the hosts’ defensive advantage shifts the assessment towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The projected total of 2.55 goals is based on a combination of current form and chance quality: Lazio create an average of 1.50 xG, while Milan concede 1.33 xG; meanwhile, Milan generate 1.25 xG, with Lazio allowing 1.15 xG. In their last five matches, the visitors scored 1.8 goals per game, while the hosts conceded 0.8, giving Milan a realistic chance to find the net. Lazio average 16 shots at home, including 5 on target, compared with Milan’s 11 attempts and 2.5 shots on target, so the hosts should create danger more frequently. Both teams exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches so far this season, while Over 3.5 goals has not occurred for either side. Therefore, the safest choice is Over 1.5 goals: the line is clearly below the 2.55-goal projection and is strongly supported by the scoring data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches, while each averaged just 0.6 goals before the break. Lazio, however, have greater potential to take control after the interval: over their last five matches, they averaged 0.8 goals scored in the second half and conceded just 0.6. The hosts also create more chances, with an average xG of 1.69 compared with Milan’s 1.18, taking 16 shots per match versus their opponents’ 11 and registering 5 shots on target compared with 2.5. Milan are dangerous after the break, having averaged 1.6 goals in this period across their last five matches, but Lazio won 80% of their recent fixtures and conceded only 0.8 goals per match overall. The X/1 scenario best combines a cautious first half with the hosts’ superior quality, which should ultimately determine the full-time result.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lazio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lazio is 29% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Lazio · 2.33 pts / match - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Lazio · 1.67 goals / match - AC Milan
Lazio is 103% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Lazio · 0.67 goals / match - AC Milan
Lazio scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
AC Milan scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Lazio keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lazio
Over / Under - AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lazio is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Lazio · 1 pts / match - AC Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lazio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AC Milan - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lazio
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lazio | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lazio 1 - 0 - 1 AC Milan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lazio vs AC Milan?
The Serie A match finished Lazio 2:2 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and AC Milan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lazio won 1, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lazio vs AC Milan?
Lazio score 1.33 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lazio's matches and 67% of AC Milan's.
What form are Lazio and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Lazio have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and AC Milan 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lazio vs AC Milan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lazio vs AC Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.