LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo: match statistics
LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
LDU Portoviejo played Santo Domingo in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 25 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Reales Tamarindos. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
LDU Portoviejo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Santo Domingo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
LDU Portoviejo scores 0.82 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Santo Domingo scores 0.75 and concedes 0.69. League average: 1.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: LDU Portoviejo 41%, Santo Domingo 25%. Over 2.5: LDU Portoviejo 29%, Santo Domingo 25%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
LDU Portoviejo has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.20. LDU Portoviejo: 10.5 shots per match, Santo Domingo: 8.8.
Match halves
LDU Portoviejo: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47. Santo Domingo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
LDU Portoviejo: 61-75 (4 goals). Santo Domingo: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.88 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
LDU Portoviejo holds a clear home advantage: at home they average 0.88 goals per game, win 50% of home matches and maintain average possession of 54% with xG 1.51. Santo Domingo on the road score only 0.25 goals per game, have yet to win away (0% wins) and failed to score in 75% of away fixtures; their away xG is 1.20. Defensively Portoviejo looks solid — they concede 0.50 goals per game at home and keep 50% clean sheets, while the visitors concede on average 1.0 goal away and have an away goal difference of -6. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 4 and conceded 7 (1-1-3), while Santo Domingo scored 2 and conceded 4 (1-2-2), with Portoviejo creating more chances: 12.88 shots and 4.38 on target at home versus 9.43 and 4.14 for the visitors, and a better conversion rate 7% versus 3%. Considering the superior attacking efficiency of the hosts and the defensive edge at home, I tip LDU Portoviejo to win ("1").
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess that BTTS - No is more likely: seasonal BTTS rates are 25% for the home side and 25% for the away side, while in the league BTTS occurs in only 40% of matches with as many as 76% of games featuring a clean sheet. The home team has a 63% clean sheet rate and concedes on average 0.38 goals per match while scoring 1.25, indicating a strong defense and frequent scoreless outcomes against weaker opponents. The away team averages just 0.25 goals per match and posts a shot conversion rate of 3% (versus 12% for the home team), so despite xG = 1.2 for both teams their actual finishing ability is severely limited. The last 5 matches show slightly higher variability (home BTTS 40% with 1.4 goals conceded on average; away BTTS 20% with 0.4 goals scored), but this does not offset the seasonal trends, therefore I recommend a No (80%) over Yes (20%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (attacking xG: LDU Portoviejo 1.20, Santo Domingo 1.20; xG conceded: LDU 1.00, Santo Domingo 1.14) yields expected goals of ~1.17 for LDU and ~1.10 for Santo Domingo, total 2.27. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.27 suggests ~66% probability of Over 1.5 goals, ~40% for Over 2.5 and ~19% for Over 3.5, but seasonal outcomes are materially lower: both teams register only 25% of matches Over 2.5 and 0% Over 3.5. Additionally, LDU converts shots to goals at 12% on an average of 10.86 shots (supporting their goal involvement), while Santo Domingo has just a 3% conversion rate on 9.43 shots, explaining their seasonal average of 0.25 goals. Considering xG=2.27, the visitors’ poor finishing and the strong historical under-2.5 signal (seasonUnder25Percentage 75% for both teams), the strongest and safest pick from the data is Under 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is LDU Portoviejo leading at the break and the hosts winning (1/1). The hosts led at half-time in 4 of 8 matches (50%) and score on average 0.63 goals by half-time while conceding 0.25, whereas Santo Domingo score only 0.13 by the break and concede 0.63. Over the full match LDU average 1.25 goals for and 0.38 against compared to the visitors’ 0.25/1.00, and the home win percentage is 63% versus 0% for Santo Domingo, which strongly supports a home victory. Despite equal xG (1.2 vs 1.2), the hosts convert chances better — 12% versus 3% for the visitors — and have 63% clean sheets this season, so maintaining the lead is realistic. I assign a minimal probability to a turnaround, as the visitors have not led at half-time this season (0%) and average only 0.5 points away.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| LDU Portoviejo | Santo Domingo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Santo Domingo is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - LDU Portoviejo · 1.6 pts / match - Santo Domingo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
LDU Portoviejo is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - LDU Portoviejo · 0.75 goals / match - Santo Domingo
Santo Domingo is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - LDU Portoviejo · 0.69 goals / match - Santo Domingo
LDU Portoviejo scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Santo Domingo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Santo Domingo scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while LDU Portoviejo keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - LDU Portoviejo
Over / Under - Santo Domingo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Santo Domingo is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - LDU Portoviejo · 1.13 pts / match - Santo Domingo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
LDU Portoviejo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Santo Domingo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
LDU Portoviejo
Santo Domingo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| LDU Portoviejo | Liga | Santo Domingo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.06 | 1.88 | ▼ 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 41% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Starting lineup
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: LDU Portoviejo 0 - 0 - 1 Santo Domingo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished LDU Portoviejo 1:0 Santo Domingo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo?
LDU Portoviejo score 0.82 goals per game on average and Santo Domingo 0.75. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 41% of LDU Portoviejo's matches and 25% of Santo Domingo's.
What form are LDU Portoviejo and Santo Domingo in?
Over the last 5 games LDU Portoviejo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Santo Domingo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo?
The statistical background for LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


