Le Havre vs Metz: match statistics
Le Havre vs Metz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Le Havre play Metz in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 4:4.
Current form
Le Havre: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Metz: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Le Havre scores 0.94 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Metz scores 0.94 and concedes 2.24. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Le Havre 50%, Metz 50%. Over 2.5: Le Havre 32%, Metz 62%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Le Havre has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.13. Le Havre: 10.9 shots per match, Metz: 10.1.
Match halves
Le Havre: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.53. Metz: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Le Havre: 61-75 (7 goals). Metz: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (Le Havre) due to their markedly superior home defence — they concede on average 0.87 goals per match with 27% clean sheets, whereas Metz concede 2.67 goals on average away and have only 13% clean sheets. Le Havre also generates more chances: on average 12 shots and 3.93 on target per home match with xG 1.36, while Metz away record 7.6 shots, 2.27 on target and xG 0.85, which corresponds to the visitors scoring only 0.87 goals on average in away fixtures. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 5 goals, but Le Havre’s form is 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss (0.8 points per game), whereas Metz are 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (0.4 points per game), so the hosts are more consistent. Season-long home stats show Le Havre with 33% wins and only 20% losses, while Metz away have just 7% wins and 80% losses, which strongly favors the home side. Considering the defensive gap, superiority in chance creation (12 vs 7.6 shots and 3.93 vs 2.27 on target) and the lower xG for the visitors (0.85 vs 1.36 for the hosts), I assign 65% to a Le Havre win, 20% to a draw and 15% to a Metz win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Le Havre | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Le Havre is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Le Havre · 0.4 pts / match - Metz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Havre is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Le Havre · 2.24 goals / match - Metz
Le Havre scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Metz scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Le Havre keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Le Havre
Over / Under — Metz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Havre is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Le Havre · 0.65 pts / match - Metz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Le Havre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Metz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Le Havre
Metz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Le Havre | Liga | Metz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Le Havre 0 - 1 - 0 Metz. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Le Havre vs Metz?
The Ligue 1 match finished Le Havre 4:4 Metz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Le Havre vs Metz?
Le Havre score 0.94 goals per game on average and Metz 0.94. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Le Havre's matches and 50% of Metz's.
What form are Le Havre and Metz in?
Over the last 5 games Le Havre have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Metz 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Le Havre vs Metz?
The statistical background for Le Havre vs Metz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.