Lecco vs Union Brescia: match statistics
Lecco vs Union Brescia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lecco played Union Brescia in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Lecco: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Union Brescia: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lecco scores 0.57 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Union Brescia scores 1.71 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lecco 14%, Union Brescia 43%. Over 2.5: Lecco 29%, Union Brescia 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Union Brescia has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.47. Lecco: 12.9 shots per match, Union Brescia: 14.1.
Match halves
Lecco: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.14. Union Brescia: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Lecco: 31-45+ (2 goals). Union Brescia: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Brescia remain unbeaten after 7 matches this season (4 wins and 3 draws), while Lecco have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. In their last 5 matches, the visitors scored 8 goals and conceded 3, while the hosts scored 4 and conceded 5, pointing to the away side as the stronger team at both ends of the pitch. Away from home, Union Brescia average 1.67 goals with an xG of 1.72, whereas Lecco score just 0.33 goals at home despite an xG of 1.63 — the hosts are creating chances but finishing them poorly. Both teams have kept a clean sheet in all their home and away matches so far, respectively, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. However, the visitors' superior finishing and their 2 wins in 3 away games tip the prediction in their favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest evidence for BTTS - No comes from Union Brescia’s defence: they have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their away matches, with BTTS occurring in 0% of them. Lecco do record BTTS in 75% of their home matches, but they have averaged just 0.8 goals across their last five games, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those matches. The visitors have conceded an average of 0.6 goals in their last five outings, further making it difficult for the hosts to find the net. The risks to the BTTS - No pick are Lecco’s home xG of 2.12 and Union Brescia’s recent average of 1.6 goals scored. However, the visitors’ clean-sheet record and the hosts’ weaker finishing tilt the assessment towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Union Brescia have yet to concede a goal away from home, while Lecco have averaged just 0.8 goals in their last five matches, limiting expectations for the hosts' scoring output. The visitors have averaged 1.6 goals over that span, with an xG of 2.11, so they could create several chances despite the hosts' solid defensive record. In the teams' last five matches, Over 2.5 goals has landed 40% of the time for each, while the league average is 2.21 goals per game. A forecast of 2.40 total goals offers the strongest value on Under 3.5 goals: it covers a scoreline as high as 2:1, while the bet only loses if there are at least four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Union Brescia were level at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches, while Lecco were level in 3 of their last 5 matches overall. A cautious start is also supported by the fact that Lecco have not conceded in the first half in their last 5 matches, while Union Brescia conceded just 1 goal before half-time over that period. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the visitors: in their last 5 matches, they averaged 0.8 goals in the second half, while Lecco conceded an average of 1.0. Union Brescia remain unbeaten in their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals per game, compared with Lecco’s 0.8. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by an away win at full-time is the strongest single HT/FT scenario, although Lecco’s unbeaten home record warrants retaining a meaningful chance of a draw at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lecco | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.12 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Brescia is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lecco · 1.8 pts / match - Union Brescia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Brescia is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - Lecco · 1.71 goals / match - Union Brescia
Union Brescia is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Lecco · 0.57 goals / match - Union Brescia
Lecco scores in 29% of matches (2 of 7 matches), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Union Brescia scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecco
Over / Under - Union Brescia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Brescia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Lecco · 1.71 pts / match - Union Brescia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Union Brescia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lecco
Union Brescia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Lecco | Liga | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.43 | 2.25 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 14% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 33% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 57% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lecco 0 - 0 - 2 Union Brescia. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecco vs Union Brescia?
The Serie C Group A match finished Lecco 2:2 Union Brescia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecco and Union Brescia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0, Union Brescia won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecco vs Union Brescia?
Lecco score 0.57 goals per game on average and Union Brescia 1.71. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Lecco's matches and 43% of Union Brescia's.
What form are Lecco and Union Brescia in?
Over the last 5 games Lecco have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Union Brescia 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecco vs Union Brescia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.