Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie: match statistics

Lech Poznań II have greater attacking potential at home, averaging 19.25 shots per match, with an xG of 2.30 compared with Wda Świecie’s away xG of 1.33. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals at home, although they convert just 8% of their shots, so the quality of the chances they create does not always translate into results. Wda are tough opponents away from home—they are yet to lose and concede an average of 0.8 goals per match, but 60% of their matches have ended in a draw. In their last five matches, Lech have scored 8 goals and conceded 8, while Wda have scored 6 and conceded 9, giving the hosts a slight edge in current form. Lech’s advantage in the number and quality of chances points towards a home win, but Wda’s solid away record means a draw remains a realistic outcome.

Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches, and the rate was also 80% in each team’s last 5 games. Lech Poznań II score an average of 1.8 goals per match but concede 2.0 and have yet to keep a clean sheet, which significantly increases the chances of Wda finding the net. The visitors average 1.2 goals, while Lech conceded an average of 1.6 goals across their last 5 matches. Wda, meanwhile, conceded 9 goals in their last 5 games, an average of 1.8 per match, while Lech recorded an xG of 2.01 over that period. Although Wda have conceded only 0.8 goals per match on average over the season, their current defensive form and the consistency of both teams scoring point to BTTS - Yes.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 100% of Lech II’s home matches and 80% of Wda’s away games. The hosts average 1.8 goals at home, but Wda concede just 0.8 on the road, so the forecast of 1.5 goals for Lech takes both sides’ strengths into account. The visitors average 1.2 goals away from home, while Lech concede 2.0 at home; moreover, the hosts have not kept a clean sheet there, supporting a forecast of 1.4 goals for Wda. Both teams scored in 80% of each side’s last five matches, and their average attacking xG was 2.01 and 1.44, respectively. The Over 2.5 goals line is less reliable, as it has been reached in only 20% of Wda’s away matches, compared with 100% of Lech II’s home games.

The strongest signal in favor of Lech Poznań II leading at the break is their recent form: the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Wda Świecie went into half-time trailing in 2 of 5 games over the same period. In their last five matches, Lech averaged 1.2 goals before the break, compared with just 0.2 for Wda, strengthening the case for an early home lead. Lech's 60% season-long win rate and average xG of 1.52, compared with the visitors' 1.33, support the prospect of them holding on to their advantage, although Wda's 60% draw rate calls for caution. The 1/1 scenario is therefore the most likely, but it is not the dominant prediction, particularly as Wda averaged 1.0 goals after half-time in their last five matches, while Lech averaged 0.4.