Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: match statistics
Lech Poznań are in excellent form in their last five matches, having secured a perfect winning streak while scoring 9 goals and conceding only one. The hosts stand out with high average possession (60%) and proficiency in home matches, although their home record this season shows some instability (36% wins, 36% draws). Raków Częstochowa have a solid away record (55% wins), but their recent form is average (1.6 points per match), and the team has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 games. A key factor is Lech's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.98 vs Raków's 1.76 xGA) along with their outstanding home run, which, with the support of their fans, gives them a real chance of triumph. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for the hosts, who will use their current momentum to secure three points.
Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lech Poznań played Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Lech Poznań: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Raków Częstochowa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lech Poznań scores 1.64 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Raków Częstochowa scores 1.27 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lech Poznań 68%, Raków Częstochowa 50%. Over 2.5: Lech Poznań 68%, Raków Częstochowa 45%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.70. Lech Poznań: 16.6 shots per match, Raków Częstochowa: 14.1.
Match halves
Lech Poznań: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82. Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Lech Poznań: 46-60 (8 goals). Raków Częstochowa: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lech Poznań are in excellent form in their last five matches, having secured a perfect winning streak while scoring 9 goals and conceding only one. The hosts stand out with high average possession (60%) and proficiency in home matches, although their home record this season shows some instability (36% wins, 36% draws). Raków Częstochowa have a solid away record (55% wins), but their recent form is average (1.6 points per match), and the team has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 games. A key factor is Lech's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.98 vs Raków's 1.76 xGA) along with their outstanding home run, which, with the support of their fans, gives them a real chance of triumph. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for the hosts, who will use their current momentum to secure three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 1 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.27 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.14 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznań scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Raków Częstochowa scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 1.23 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lech Poznań
Raków Częstochowa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lech Poznań 0 - 1 - 0 Raków Częstochowa. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 4:3 Raków Częstochowa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
Lech Poznań score 1.64 goals per game on average and Raków Częstochowa 1.27. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Lech Poznań's matches and 50% of Raków Częstochowa's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Raków Częstochowa in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Raków Częstochowa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.