Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: match statistics
Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lech Poznań played Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Enea stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lech Poznań: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Raków Częstochowa: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lech Poznań scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Raków Częstochowa scores 1.20 and concedes 2.60. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lech Poznań 60%, Raków Częstochowa 100%. Over 2.5: Lech Poznań 80%, Raków Częstochowa 100%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.67. Lech Poznań: 17.6 shots per match, Raków Częstochowa: 14.8.
Match halves
Lech Poznań: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00. Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Lech Poznań: 76-90+ (4 goals). Raków Częstochowa: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lech Poznań remain unbeaten in the league, with a record of 3 wins and 1 draw. In their last five matches, they have collected 13 points and scored as many as 20 goals. Raków Częstochowa sit 18th after suffering four defeats in four games, while in their last five appearances they have lost three times and conceded 12 goals. The home advantage is supported by the statistics: Lech create chances worth an average of 2.02 xG, record 18.5 shots and 7 shots on target per match, while Raków allow opponents an average of 1.82 xG away from home. Lech’s defence has yet to concede at home and boasts an average xG against of 0.99, whereas the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away from home. Raków are capable of scoring on the road, but their 100% away defeat rate and failure to keep a clean sheet strongly point towards a Lech victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear, as this season both Lech and Raków have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, while neither side has kept a clean sheet. Lech averages 1.79 xG and 4.5 shots on target per match, whereas Raków generates 1.64 xG from 15.5 attempts, which should provide the visitors with genuine scoring chances. Raków’s defence allows opponents an average of 1.82 xG, and in their last 5 matches the team conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game, while Lech scored 4.0 goals per match during the same period. The main risk is Lech’s stronger recent defence, which conceded only 0.8 goals per match and saw BTTS land in 40% of their last 5 appearances. However, Raków’s attacking potential and the consistent season-long performances of both sides support the "BTTS - Yes" option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Lech are in excellent offensive form: they have scored 20 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 4.0 per game, with an average xG of 2.04. Over the same period, Raków conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, while their average xG conceded was 1.77, which supports the expectation of at least two goals for the hosts. The visitors also regularly feature in open games: 4 of their last 5 matches produced at least 3 goals, and their average attacking xG stands at 1.54. Both teams have so far recorded a 100% rate of matches finishing Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick with a projected total of 3.24 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lech have been clearly stronger in their last five matches: they won 80% of them, scoring an average of 4.0 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Raków won 20% of their games, scored 1.6 goals and allowed opponents to score 2.4. The hosts were leading at the break in 60% of their last five appearances, and their average of 1.8 goals before half-time is more than twice Raków’s 0.8. Lech’s advantage should increase after the interval, as they average 2.2 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded in that period, compared with Raków’s 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded. In addition, Lech average 4.5 shots on target per match against 3.0 for the visitors and have a higher finishing efficiency, 10% compared with 6%. The most likely scenario is therefore for the hosts to take the lead before half-time and maintain it until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.2 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznań is 225% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 2.6 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznań scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Raków Częstochowa scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 0.8 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lech Poznań
Raków Częstochowa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lech Poznań 1 - 1 - 0 Raków Częstochowa. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 1:0 Raków Częstochowa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lech Poznań and Raków Częstochowa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lech Poznań won 1, Raków Częstochowa won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
Lech Poznań score 2.00 goals per game on average and Raków Częstochowa 1.20. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Lech Poznań's matches and 100% of Raków Częstochowa's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Raków Częstochowa in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Raków Częstochowa 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.