Leeds United vs Manchester City: match statistics
Manchester City presents excellent form with five victories in a row and a goal balance of 12:3 in the last five matches, while Leeds United has only 1.2 points per match in this period with a balance of 7:9. The difference in quality is also visible in league positions – City in 2nd place with 17 victories in the season, Leeds in 15th position with just 7 wins. The guests' away statistics show 46% win efficiency and 31% clean sheets, which, given the weaker defense of the hosts (1.38 goals conceded on average at home), gives a clear advantage. Although Leeds has a decent home record (46% wins), the current form of both teams and the difference in class speaks decisively in favor of Manchester City. Small chances for a draw result from the unpredictability of a single match, however, all indicators point to a victory for the guests.
Leeds United vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leeds United played Manchester City in Premier League (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Leeds United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Manchester City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leeds United scores 1.37 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Manchester City scores 2.07 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leeds United 67%, Manchester City 48%. Over 2.5: Leeds United 59%, Manchester City 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.36. Leeds United: 12.3 shots per match, Manchester City: 14.2.
Match halves
Leeds United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Manchester City: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Leeds United: 31-45+ (11 goals). Manchester City: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester City presents excellent form with five victories in a row and a goal balance of 12:3 in the last five matches, while Leeds United has only 1.2 points per match in this period with a balance of 7:9. The difference in quality is also visible in league positions – City in 2nd place with 17 victories in the season, Leeds in 15th position with just 7 wins. The guests' away statistics show 46% win efficiency and 31% clean sheets, which, given the weaker defense of the hosts (1.38 goals conceded on average at home), gives a clear advantage. Although Leeds has a decent home record (46% wins), the current form of both teams and the difference in class speaks decisively in favor of Manchester City. Small chances for a draw result from the unpredictability of a single match, however, all indicators point to a victory for the guests.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leeds United | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester City is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Leeds United · 2.6 pts / match - Manchester City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Leeds United · 2.07 goals / match - Manchester City
Manchester City is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Leeds United · 0.93 goals / match - Manchester City
Leeds United scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
Manchester City scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leeds United
Over / Under - Manchester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Leeds United · 2.26 pts / match - Manchester City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leeds United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 63%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leeds United
Manchester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Leeds United | Liga | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.07 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leeds United 0 - 0 - 1 Manchester City. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leeds United vs Manchester City?
The Premier League match finished Leeds United 0:1 Manchester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leeds United vs Manchester City?
Leeds United score 1.37 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.07. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Leeds United's matches and 48% of Manchester City's.
What form are Leeds United and Manchester City in?
Over the last 5 games Leeds United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Manchester City 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leeds United vs Manchester City?
The statistical background for Leeds United vs Manchester City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.