Manchester City vs Leeds United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Manchester City play Leeds United in Premier League (England). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Manchester City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Leeds United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Manchester City scores 2.03 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Leeds United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Manchester City 50%, Leeds United 58%. Over 2.5: Manchester City 63%, Leeds United 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Manchester City has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.40. Manchester City: 15.6 shots per match, Leeds United: 12.6.

Match halves

Manchester City: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.95. Leeds United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Manchester City: 31-45+ (22 goals). Leeds United: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
Manchester CityLeeds United
18Shots9
Manchester CityLeeds United
9Shots on target4
Manchester CityLeeds United
2.27xG1.15
Manchester CityLeeds United
8Corners1
Manchester CityLeeds United
70Dangerous attacks41
Manchester CityLeeds United
17Fouls11
Manchester CityLeeds United
4Cards1
Manchester CityLeeds United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Manchester CityLeeds United
2.03Goals scored / match1.29
Manchester CityLeeds United
0.92Goals conceded / match1.47
Manchester CityLeeds United
61%Average possession46%
Manchester CityLeeds United
5.39Shots on target / match3.97
Manchester CityLeeds United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.63Shots per match12.58
Manchester CityLeeds United
5.39Shots on target3.97
Manchester CityLeeds United
13%Shot conversion10.3%
Manchester CityLeeds United
61%Possession46%
Manchester CityLeeds United
1.83xG for1.4
Manchester CityLeeds United
1.11xG against1.47
Manchester CityLeeds United

Shooting quality

Manchester City: DominantLeeds United: Balanced
Manchester CityLeeds United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Manchester City
DWWDL
Season result split
61% W24% R16% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-9-6
2.05 pts / match · goal difference +42
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.12Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Leeds United
DWDWL
Season result split
29% W37% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-14-13
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-9-8
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Manchester City is 57% better for: goals scored per match.

2.03 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.29 goals / match - Leeds United

Manchester City is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.47 goals / match - Leeds United

Manchester City scoring profile: very strong

Manchester City scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

Leeds United scoring profile: strong

Leeds United scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

77Goals scored (season)49
Manchester CityLeeds United
35Goals conceded (season)56
Manchester CityLeeds United
2.95Average goals in match2.76
Manchester CityLeeds United
11Goals scored (last 5)7
Manchester CityLeeds United
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Manchester CityLeeds United

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal68%
Manchester CityLeeds United
61%2 goals37%
Manchester CityLeeds United
39%3 goals21%
Manchester CityLeeds United
8%4 goals3%
Manchester CityLeeds United

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal79%
Manchester CityLeeds United
26%2 goals37%
Manchester CityLeeds United
5%3 goals21%
Manchester CityLeeds United
3%4 goals8%
Manchester CityLeeds United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time13%
Manchester CityLeeds United
3%BTTS in both halves5%
Manchester CityLeeds United
37%Scored in both halves18%
Manchester CityLeeds United

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Manchester CityLeeds United
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Manchester CityLeeds United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Manchester CityLeeds United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Manchester CityLeeds United
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Manchester CityLeeds United
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Manchester CityLeeds United

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Manchester CityLeeds United
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Manchester CityLeeds United
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Manchester CityLeeds United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Manchester City is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.18 pts / match - Manchester City · 1.42 pts / match - Leeds United

Manchester City - half-time state
63% leading29% draw8% trailing
Leeds United - half-time state
32% leading47% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.18Points per match (1st half)1.42
Manchester CityLeeds United
1.08Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Manchester CityLeeds United
0.26Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Manchester CityLeeds United
1.34Average goals (1st half)1.05
Manchester CityLeeds United
76%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Manchester CityLeeds United
29%No goal before half-time61%
Manchester CityLeeds United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.08
Manchester CityLeeds United
0.95Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
Manchester CityLeeds United
0.66Goals conceded (2nd half)1.05
Manchester CityLeeds United
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Manchester CityLeeds United
63%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Manchester CityLeeds United
45%No goal after half-time53%
Manchester CityLeeds United

Manchester City - second-half results

42% W26% R32% P
83
Half-time points
41
Half-time goals
+31
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding97%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 61%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Leeds United - second-half results

24% W37% R39% P
54
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding91%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Manchester City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Leeds United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match0.22.6
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Manchester City
ScoredConceded
9
0
0-15
10
4
16-30
22
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
14
11
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Leeds United
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
6
7
16-30
11
5
31-45
7
11
46-60
9
12
61-75
9
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Manchester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Leeds United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Manchester CityLigaLeeds United
Average goals in match 2.952.75 2.76
Both teams scored 50%56% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%55% 55%
Clean sheets 42%26% 21%
Goal before half-time 79%72% 61%
Goal after half-time 74%79% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Manchester City 1 - 0 - 0 Leeds United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Manchester City vs Leeds United?

The Premier League match finished Manchester City 3:2 Leeds United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Manchester City vs Leeds United?

Manchester City score 2.03 goals per game on average and Leeds United 1.29. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Manchester City's matches and 58% of Leeds United's.

What form are Manchester City and Leeds United in?

Over the last 5 games Manchester City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Leeds United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester City vs Leeds United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Manchester City vs Leeds United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.