Leevon / PPK vs Skanste: match statistics
Leevon / PPK vs Skanste: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leevon / PPK played Skanste in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 25 July 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Leevon / PPK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Skanste: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leevon / PPK scores 1.62 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Skanste scores 1.54 and concedes 2.08. League average: 3.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leevon / PPK 69%, Skanste 46%. Over 2.5: Leevon / PPK 69%, Skanste 69%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Leevon / PPK has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.44. Leevon / PPK: 12.1 shots per match, Skanste: 9.8.
Match halves
Leevon / PPK: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 1.08. Skanste: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Leevon / PPK: 46-60 (6 goals). Skanste: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.44 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1) because Leevon / PPK sit 4th with 7 wins this season versus Skanste’s 4, and the season goal differential is 21 scored / 17 conceded vs guests’ 20–27. Home metrics favor the hosts — they average 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home, have a 67% home win rate and a positive home goal differential (+4), while Skanste away average 2.00 scored and 2.67 conceded with a negative differential (-4). Hosts show higher efficiency: average xG for Leevon/PPK is 1.47 vs xG against 1.53, and the home side’s shot conversion rate is 19% vs 13% for Skanste; hosts also register 51% possession vs 41% for the visitors, indicating game control. Both teams have been conceding heavily recently (hosts conceded 12 in the last 5, visitors 13), but Skanste additionally have 33% of away matches without scoring and 0% clean sheets on the road, increasing the risk for the visitors. Considering the superior season record, home advantage and higher efficiency, I assign 60% to the home win, 20% to a draw and 20% to the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes at 83% probability because away team Skanste have recorded 0 clean sheets this season (0%) and concede an average of 2.67 goals per game, which strongly increases the likelihood of the home side scoring. Leevon / PPK have a season BTTS rate of only 29%, but in their last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 100% and they average 1.8 goals in that period (season 1.14), so recent form clearly favors both teams scoring. The visitors average 2.0 goals per game this season, have xG_for 1.33 versus xG_against 1.94 (season) and in the last 5 matches produced xG 1.64 while conceding on average 2.6 goals, showing they can score but are also vulnerable to conceding. Additionally, the league averages 3.43 goals per match, the league BTTS rate is 60%, and over2.5 is 83% for away teams and 57% for home teams, all of which boost the probability of both teams scoring. Considering these figures - 0% away clean sheets, 2.67 goals conceded per game by Skanste, 100% BTTS for the hosts in the last 5 and league BTTS 60% - the 'both teams to score' scenario is the strongest (83% vs 17%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of matches this season with at least 2 goals (seasonOver15 100% for both home and away), and the league average is 3.43 goals per match, signaling a strong lean toward Over. xG head-to-head analysis yields approximately 1.73 xG for the home side (1.52 xG scored by home vs 1.94 xG conceded by away) and about 1.46 xG for the away side (1.33 vs 1.58), totaling 3.19 expected goals. In the last 5 matches the home team averages 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded (4.2 g/m total), while the away team averages 1.0 scored and 2.6 conceded (3.6 g/m total), which reinforces the signal for a high-scoring game. Season Over2.5 rates are 57% for home and 83% for away, and in the last 5 it was 100% and 80% respectively, so Over 2.5 is likely, but the clearest and strongest signal is Over 1.5 due to the consistent 100% history and total xG of 3.19.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts have never led at the break (0 times) and were behind at half-time in 57% of matches, indicating a weaker start. However, they improve significantly after the interval: they score an average of 1.00 goal in the second half and average 1.57 points gained after the break, winning the second half in 43% of cases. The visitors concede an average of 2.00 goals in second halves and have only 0.60 points after the break, and in their last 5 matches they have won just 20% of games, suggesting difficulties in holding results. Additionally, the hosts were level at half-time in 43% of matches, which presents a realistic possibility of a draw at the break, but the second-half statistics (strong home performance and high visitor losses after the break) favor a turnaround — hence the HT/FT pick: 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leevon / PPK | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leevon / PPK is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Leevon / PPK · 0.6 pts / match - Skanste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leevon / PPK is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Leevon / PPK · 1.54 goals / match - Skanste
Leevon / PPK is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Leevon / PPK · 2.08 goals / match - Skanste
Leevon / PPK scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Skanste keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Skanste scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Leevon / PPK keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leevon / PPK
Over / Under - Skanste
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leevon / PPK is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Leevon / PPK · 0.54 pts / match - Skanste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leevon / PPK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Skanste - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leevon / PPK
Skanste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Leevon / PPK | Liga | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.92 | 3.44 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 22% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Leevon / PPK 2 - 1 - 0 Skanste. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
The 1. Liga match finished Leevon / PPK 2:1 Skanste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leevon / PPK and Skanste?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Leevon / PPK won 2, Skanste won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
Leevon / PPK score 1.62 goals per game on average and Skanste 1.54. The 1. Liga average is 3.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Leevon / PPK's matches and 46% of Skanste's.
What form are Leevon / PPK and Skanste in?
Over the last 5 games Leevon / PPK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Skanste 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leevon / PPK vs Skanste: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.