Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova II: match statistics

Leevon / PPK sit 4th and have won 11 of their 17 matches, while Super Nova II are seventh, with a record of 6 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats. The hosts are in excellent form, having won their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 5, whereas the visitors have managed only one win and scored 5 goals over the same period. At home, Leevon / PPK win 78% of their matches, average 2.22 goals and generate chances worth 1.71 xG, while Super Nova II have won just 22% of their away games and allow opponents 1.84 xG. The hosts’ advantage is also evident in shots on target, 5.33 compared with 4.44, as well as in the visitors’ defensive record, with Super Nova II conceding an average of 1.67 goals per away match. Super Nova II can find the net on the road, having failed to score in none of their away matches, but their 44% away-draw rate points more towards a competitive spell than taking points from the in-form hosts.

BTTS - Yes is more likely, as both teams have frequently recorded this scenario during the season: Leevon / PPK in 56% of matches and Super Nova II in as many as 78%, compared with the league average of 64%. The visitors have not finished a single match this season without scoring, while the hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 22% of their games, strongly supporting a Super Nova II goal. Leevon / PPK are in excellent attacking form, averaging 2.2 goals over their last 5 matches with an xG of 1.88, while their opponents conceded 1.4 goals per game during this period. In addition, BTTS occurred in 80% of the hosts’ last five matches and 60% of the visitors’ games, although Super Nova II’s slightly lower recent scoring average of 1.0 leaves a moderate risk of a No Goal outcome for one of the sides.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: at least 2 goals were scored in 67% of Leevon / PPK matches and in all Super Nova II fixtures. The hosts are in excellent form, averaging 2.2 goals scored over their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.88, while their opponents conceded 1.4 goals per game during that period. Super Nova II averages 1.44 goals, while Leevon / PPK concedes 1.22, meaning the visitors should also make a significant contribution to the expected total of 2.90 goals. Both defences keep a clean sheet in only 22% of matches, while games involving the visitors see both teams score in as many as 78% of cases. The 2.5 line remains realistic, as confirmed by 69% of such matches in the league, but Over 1.5 is clearly better supported by the consistency of both teams.

Leevon / PPK have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Super Nova II averaged 1.0 goal per match over the same period and won only once. The hosts have a clearer first-half profile: they score an average of 0.89 goals before the break and concede 0.44, whereas the visitors score 0.56 and allow opponents 0.78 goals on average. Leevon / PPK were leading at the break in 4 of 9 matches, while Super Nova II were trailing at half-time in 2 of 9, supporting the scenario of a home advantage already at the interval. The hosts’ advantage should persist after the restart, as they averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.2 conceded in the second half of their last five matches, while the visitors scored only 0.2 and conceded 1.0. A final draw remains a realistic risk, as Super Nova II drew 44% of their matches this season, but the strongest individual outcome is Leevon / PPK leading at half-time and winning the match — the 1/1 HT/FT result.