Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II: match statistics
Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leevon / PPK played Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Leevon / PPK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Tukums II: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leevon / PPK scores 1.40 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Tukums II scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leevon / PPK 40%, Tukums II 75%. Over 2.5: Leevon / PPK 40%, Tukums II 75%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
Leevon / PPK has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.51. Leevon / PPK: 12.6 shots per match, Tukums II: 10.3.
Match halves
Leevon / PPK: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Tukums II: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Leevon / PPK: 46-60 (2 goals). Tukums II: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.68 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leevon / PPK are the favorites in this matchup: they sit 3rd in the table versus Tukums II’s 9th and have a season record of 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, while the visitors have 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses. In their last 5 matches the hosts show form 'wwddw' — scoring 7 goals and conceding 3 (0.6 conceded per game), whereas Tukums II scored 8 but conceded 14 in their last five (2.8 per game). The visitors are more active offensively on the road: on average 7 shots and 5 on target per away match with a conversion rate around 29% and an average of 2 goals per away game, and their average away xG is 1.21 versus the hosts’ home xG of 0.68. Despite creating higher-quality chances, Tukums II’s defense is vulnerable (8 goals conceded this season and 14 in the last 5) and they have only 0.8 points per game in the last 5, while Leevon / PPK have conceded 3 goals this season and average 2.2 points per game in their last 5. Based on this, I project a home win; probabilities estimated at ~65% for Leevon / PPK, 20% for a draw and 15% for Tukums II.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "both teams to score" scenario is more likely: season BTTS rates are 67% for Leevon/PPK and 100% for Tukums II, versus a league average of 62%. In the last 5 matches Leevon had BTTS in 40% of games and Tukums in 80%; Tukums scored 8 and conceded 14 goals in those 5 matches (averaging 1.6 and 2.8 per game), indicating they can both score and are vulnerable at the back. xG and shot metrics support this conclusion: Leevon has xG 1.60 and averages 7.0 shots on target per game, while Tukums has xG 1.21 with 5.0 shots on target, but Tukums’ conversion rate is 29% versus Leevon’s 12%, so with fewer chances they are highly efficient. Additionally, Leevon concedes on average 2.0 goals per season (xG against 2.20), and Tukums has 0% clean sheets seasonally, which combined with the league average of 3.68 goals per match favors BTTS. Considering these figures, I assign a 75% chance to BTTS - Yes and 25% to No — key factors are Tukums’ 100% season BTTS, high 29% conversion, and Leevon’s 67% with a 62% league BTTS benchmark.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a seasonal Over 1.5 rate of 100%, and an xG-based model gives expected 1.41 goals for Leevon/PPK and 1.71 for Tukums II (total 3.12), which strongly supports a result above 1.5 goals. Tukums II scores on average 2.0 goals per game, has a seasonal percentage of matches over 2.5 goals of 100% and conceded 14 goals in the last 5 fixtures (avg 2.8), indicating an open and vulnerable defense. Leevon/PPK generates more chances (avg 11.33 shots and 7.0 on target) with xG 1.6 but has lower finishing efficiency (12% conversion vs 29% for Tukums II), so the hosts create chances while the visitors are efficient at converting them. Seasonal Over 2.5 percentages are 67% for the home side and 100% for the away side, and the league averages 3.68 goals per match (74% of matches over 2.5), therefore Over 2.5 is rated as likely (~80%), however Over 1.5 remains the strongest signal (~98%). I therefore recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the best line — high combined xG 3.12, 67%/100% rates of matches with both teams scoring and recent form (home 7 scored and 3 conceded, away 8 and 14) confirm the edge for this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tukums II led at half-time in 100% of away matches and averages 2.0 goals scored by HT and 1.0 conceded by HT (leadingAtHTPercentage_away 100.0; scoredAVGHT_away 2.0; concededAVGHT_away 1.0), so the HT is most likely to favor the visitors. Despite this advantage, Tukums II have not won any away game (winPercentage_away 0.0), and the away draw rate is 100% (drawPercentage_away 100.0), which strongly suggests a full-time draw rather than an away win. The home side are trailing at the break in 67% of matches (trailingAtHTPercentage_home 67.0), yet they average 0.67 goals after half-time and frequently score late (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.67; goals_scored_min_76_to_90_home 2.0), increasing the likelihood of an equalizer in the second half. Additionally, Tukums II have a higher shot conversion rate of 29.0% versus 12.0% for the home team (shot_conversion_rate_away 29.0 vs shot_conversion_rate_home 12.0), which sustains their first-half attack, but the lack of away wins reduces the probability of holding the lead until full-time. For these reasons the most probable scenario is visitors leading at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes (2/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leevon / PPK | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 63% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leevon / PPK is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Leevon / PPK · 1 pts / match - Tukums II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums II is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Leevon / PPK · 1.5 goals / match - Tukums II
Leevon / PPK is 233% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Leevon / PPK · 2 goals / match - Tukums II
Leevon / PPK scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Tukums II scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Leevon / PPK keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leevon / PPK
Over / Under - Tukums II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tukums II is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Leevon / PPK · 1.5 pts / match - Tukums II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leevon / PPK - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leevon / PPK
Tukums II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Leevon / PPK | Liga | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.68 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 74% | • 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leevon / PPKGoalSho Saito
- Leevon / PPKGoalGabriels Kirkils
- Leevon / PPKGoalRoberts Krūms
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Leevon / PPK 1 - 0 - 1 Tukums II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II?
The 1. Liga match finished Leevon / PPK 4:1 Tukums II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leevon / PPK and Tukums II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Leevon / PPK won 1, Tukums II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II?
Leevon / PPK score 1.40 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 3.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Leevon / PPK's matches and 75% of Tukums II's.
What form are Leevon / PPK and Tukums II in?
Over the last 5 games Leevon / PPK have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Tukums II 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II?
The statistical background for Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.