Poland - EkstraklasaStadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa PiłsudskiegoData current as of 21 October 2026

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Legia Warszawa play Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego.

Current form

Legia Warszawa: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Lech Poznań: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Legia Warszawa scores 2.00 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Lech Poznań scores 2.70 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Legia Warszawa 73%, Lech Poznań 70%. Over 2.5: Legia Warszawa 36%, Lech Poznań 80%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.72. Legia Warszawa: 15.6 shots per match, Lech Poznań: 18.2.

Match halves

Legia Warszawa: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.82. Lech Poznań: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.30.

Goals by minute

Legia Warszawa: 16-30 (7 goals). Lech Poznań: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ekstraklasa: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.70)
(2.55)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
2Goals scored / match2.7
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
0.82Goals conceded / match0.9
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
49%Average possession55%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
4.82Shots on target / match6.3
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.64Shots per match18.2
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
4.82Shots on target6.3
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
12.8%Shot conversion14.8%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
49%Possession55%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
1.72xG for1.98
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
1.47xG against1.24
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

Shooting quality

Legia Warszawa: AttackingLech Poznań: Dominant
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lech Poznań is 9% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 2.4 pts / match - Lech Poznań

Legia Warszawa
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
55% W45% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-0
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Lech Poznań
WLWWW
Season result split
80% W10% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-1
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lech Poznań is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 2.7 goals / match - Lech Poznań

Legia Warszawa is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.82 goals / match - Legia Warszawa · 0.9 goals / match - Lech Poznań

Legia Warszawa scoring profile: very strong

Legia Warszawa scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

Lech Poznań scoring profile: very strong

Lech Poznań scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

22Goals scored (season)27
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
9Goals conceded (season)9
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
2.82Average goals in match3.6
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
10Goals scored (last 5)17
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal90%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
45%2 goals70%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
36%3 goals50%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
9%4 goals30%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal70%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
9%2 goals20%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
0%3 goals0%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
0%4 goals0%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time30%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
45%Scored in both halves50%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
80%BTTS - last 580%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
18%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lech Poznań is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Legia Warszawa · 2.2 pts / match - Lech Poznań

Legia Warszawa - half-time state
55% leading36% draw9% trailing
Lech Poznań - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)2.2
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
1.18Goals scored (1st half)1.4
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
1.64Average goals (1st half)1.7
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
55%Clean sheet before half-time70%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
18%No goal before half-time30%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

After half-time (2nd half)

1.91Points per match (2nd half)2
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)1.3
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.9
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
73%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań
36%No goal after half-time30%
Legia WarszawaLech Poznań

Legia Warszawa - second-half results

55% W27% D18% L
22
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lech Poznań - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
22
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Legia Warszawa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.80
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Lech Poznań - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.40
Goals scored / match1.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+8+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Legia Warszawa
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
7
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Lech Poznań
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
7
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
90%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Legia Warszawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Lech Poznań

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
205%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).

Teams vs league

Legia WarszawaLigaLech Poznań
Average goals in match▼ 2.822.96▲ 3.60
Both teams scored▲ 73%65%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 36%60%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 27%22%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 91%68%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 82%84%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Legia Warszawa 0 - 1 - 1 Lech Poznań. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

KKS Lech Poznań
4 : 0
KP Legia Warszawa
KP Legia Warszawa
0 : 0
KKS Lech Poznań

FAQ

When do Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznań play?

Legia Warszawa face Lech Poznań on 25 October 2026 in Ekstraklasa at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznań?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Legia Warszawa won 0, Lech Poznań won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań?

Legia Warszawa score 2.00 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 2.70. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Legia Warszawa's matches and 70% of Lech Poznań's.

What form are Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznań in?

Over the last 5 games Legia Warszawa have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Lech Poznań 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań?

The statistical background for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.