Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Leixões displays poor home form with only 31% wins and as many as 62% losses at home, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira has even worse away statistics – they win only 25% of matches away and in 58% of games they fail to score a goal. The form from the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), however, their poor attacking efficiency away (0.75 goals/match) and the defensive problems of the hosts suggest a low-paced match. Considering Paços' high draw rate (25% away) and the overall weakness of both teams, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leixões played Paços de Ferreira in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Leixões: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paços de Ferreira: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leixões scores 1.12 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira scores 0.96 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leixões 54%, Paços de Ferreira 44%. Over 2.5: Leixões 58%, Paços de Ferreira 52%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Paços de Ferreira has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.39. Leixões: 11.9 shots per match, Paços de Ferreira: 12.6.
Match halves
Leixões: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.58. Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Leixões: 16-30 (12 goals). Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Leixões displays poor home form with only 31% wins and as many as 62% losses at home, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira has even worse away statistics – they win only 25% of matches away and in 58% of games they fail to score a goal. The form from the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), however, their poor attacking efficiency away (0.75 goals/match) and the defensive problems of the hosts suggest a low-paced match. Considering Paços' high draw rate (25% away) and the overall weakness of both teams, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leixões | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paços de Ferreira is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Leixões · 1.6 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leixões is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Leixões · 0.96 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira
Paços de Ferreira is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Leixões · 1.36 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira
Leixões scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Paços de Ferreira scores in 52% of matches (13 of 25 matches), while Leixões keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leixões
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leixões is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Leixões · 0.92 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leixões - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leixões
Paços de Ferreira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Leixões | Liga | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 44% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Paços de FerreiraSubstitutionOn: Iuri Alexandre da Silva MoreiraOff: João Victor Lopes do Nascimento Silveira
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leixões 0 - 0 - 1 Paços de Ferreira. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira?
The LigaPro match finished Leixões 3:2 Paços de Ferreira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira?
Leixões score 1.12 goals per game on average and Paços de Ferreira 0.96. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Leixões's matches and 44% of Paços de Ferreira's.
What form are Leixões and Paços de Ferreira in?
Over the last 5 games Leixões have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paços de Ferreira 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.