Leixões vs Portimonense: match statistics
Leixões vs Portimonense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leixões played Portimonense in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Leixões: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Portimonense: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leixões scores 1.27 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Portimonense scores 1.13 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leixões 53%, Portimonense 60%. Over 2.5: Leixões 57%, Portimonense 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Leixões: 11.7 shots per match, Portimonense: 12.2.
Match halves
Leixões: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.63. Portimonense: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Leixões: 16-30 (14 goals). Portimonense: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Leixões). Leixões sit 10th versus Portimonense 17th, have 12 wins this season versus the visitors’ 9 and have scored 38 goals compared to Portimonense’s 34. Home form favors Leixões: they average 1.33 goals and xG 1.49 at home with 12.6 shots per game and 4.33 on target, and in the last 5 matches they scored 10 goals and average 2.0 points per match (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). At the same time Leixões’ defense is exposed — they concede 2.07 goals per home match with xG against 1.41 (indicating they defend worse than xG suggests), while Portimonense concede 1.6 on the road with xG against 1.77 (i.e., they perform better than xG indicates). Both teams have similar efficiency (conversion rate 11% vs 12%), the share of matches without a goal is 27% for both, and in the last 5 matches Leixões scored 10 goals versus Portimonense’s 7; given the higher league position, better xG (1.49 vs 1.29) and slightly better form (2.0 vs 1.8 points per match) I give the hosts higher chances — 50% versus 23% for the visitors and 27% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Leixões has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and Portimonense 53%, averaging around 60% which indicates a tendency for both teams to score and concede. In the last 5 matches both teams show a 60% BTTS; in that period Leixões scored on average 2.0 goals and conceded 1.2, while Portimonense scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2, demonstrating a real ability of both sides to find the net and to be breached. xG reinforces this picture: Leixões generates 1.46 xG with 1.39 xG allowed, while Portimonense posts 1.29 xG against a worrying 1.77 xG conceded, indicating Portimonense is more exposed to conceding. Clean sheet percentages are low: only 7% for Leixões and 20% for Portimonense, and shots on target per game are similar (4.13 vs 4.07), which increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal. A counterargument is the lower league BTTS rate of 46%, but the weight of internal signals (seasonal 67% and 53% and 60% in the last 5) points to goals from both sides. Therefore I assess BTTS at 70% for Yes and 30% for No, with the recommended pick being Yes (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate an advantage for Over 1.5: Leixões records Over 1.5 in 73% of games this season, Portimonense in 60% (approximately 67% on average), and projected xG is 1.62 for the home side and 1.34 for the away side, totaling 2.96, so reaching at least two goals is highly probable. Both teams frequently score and concede — Leixões has 67% of matches with both teams scoring, Portimonense 53%, while clean sheets occur in only 7% and 20% of cases; additionally shot volume (13.0 vs 10.93) and shots on target (4.13 vs 4.07) support a goal-scoring scenario. Signals for the 2.5 line are mixed: season Over 2.5 stands at 40% (Leixões) and 47% (Portimonense), averaging 44%, but in the last 5 matches both teams registered Over 2.5 in 60% of cases, which, given the combined xG=2.96, yields an almost balanced outlook (hence I assessed Over 2.5 at about 48%). Over 3.5 appears unlikely — season Over 3.5 rates are 13% and 33% (≈23% average), and the projected 2.96 xG is clearly below 3.5, so Under 3.5 has a significant edge. In summary, I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the strongest and safest signal, with expected goals 1.62 (home) and 1.34 (away) and moderate caution at the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Leixões starts strongly: in the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 40% of cases, and their average first-half goals in those 5 games is 1.2 versus 0.2 for Portimonense. However, Portimonense has a higher win rate over the season — 40% versus Leixões’ 20% — and a stronger second half: the visitors’ average second-half goals is 1.93 versus the hosts’ 1.6, and in the last 5 matches the visitors accumulate 2.0 points after the break compared to the hosts’ 1.6. Specifically, Portimonense scored 4 goals in minutes 46–60, while Leixões conceded 3 in that interval, indicating a real risk of a turnaround after halftime. Considering Leixões’ strong start but Portimonense’s superior post-break efficiency and higher seasonal win rate, the strongest scenario is the hosts leading at the break and the visitors winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 1/2). Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/2 scenario (22%), with a significant share of draws (X/X 16%) and the hosts maintaining their lead (1/1 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leixões | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leixões is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Leixões · 1.8 pts / match - Portimonense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leixões is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Leixões · 1.13 goals / match - Portimonense
Portimonense is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Leixões · 1.47 goals / match - Portimonense
Leixões scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Portimonense keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
Portimonense scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Leixões keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leixões
Over / Under - Portimonense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leixões - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Portimonense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leixões
Portimonense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Leixões | Liga | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.46 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 44% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leixões 1 - 0 - 0 Portimonense. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leixões vs Portimonense?
The LigaPro match finished Leixões 2:0 Portimonense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leixões vs Portimonense?
Leixões score 1.27 goals per game on average and Portimonense 1.13. The LigaPro average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Leixões's matches and 60% of Portimonense's.
What form are Leixões and Portimonense in?
Over the last 5 games Leixões have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Portimonense 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leixões vs Portimonense?
The statistical background for Leixões vs Portimonense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.