Leixões vs UD Oliveirense: match statistics
Leixões vs UD Oliveirense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leixões played UD Oliveirense in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Leixões: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. UD Oliveirense: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leixões scores 1.18 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. UD Oliveirense scores 0.96 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leixões 57%, UD Oliveirense 39%. Over 2.5: Leixões 57%, UD Oliveirense 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Leixões has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.30. Leixões: 11.8 shots per match, UD Oliveirense: 11.1.
Match halves
Leixões: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.64. UD Oliveirense: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Leixões: 16-30 (12 goals). UD Oliveirense: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leixões are the favourites on paper: in the last 5 matches the home side scored 7 goals and average 1.4 points per game, while UD Oliveirense scored only 1 goal and average 0.4 points per game. At home Leixões averages 12.86 shots and 4.43 shots on target per game with a 10% conversion rate and xG 1.51, whereas Oliveirense on the road averages 10.86 shots, 2.64 on target with a 3% conversion and xG 1.23, indicating a home advantage in chance quality. Defensively Leixões are vulnerable — they concede 2.21 goals per home game and have a home goal differential of -13, while the visitors concede only 1.07 goals away on average and with 43% clean sheets can limit opponents. Oliveirense’s biggest problem is attacking impotence: away they score 0.36 goals per game and fail to score in 71% of matches, resulting in only 7% away wins. Considering the superiority in shot volume and quality (12.86 and 4.43 vs 10.86 and 2.64), higher home xG (1.51 vs 1.23) and better efficiency (10% vs 3%), I predict a Leixões win, although I expect goals from both sides due to the home side’s weak defense.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' (no both teams to score) because UD Oliveirense shows very poor offensive efficiency: 0.36 goals per game for the season and only 0.2 in the last 5 matches, and fails to score in 71% of games. Leixões averages 1.57 goals and has a season BTTS rate of 57% (80% in the last 5), but concedes 1.71 goals per game and has only 29% clean sheets, indicating hosts are more often the creators of scoring chances. xG indicates 1.38 for Leixões and 1.23 for Oliveirense, yet the conversion rate is 14% for the home side versus 3% for the visitors, and average shots on target are 4.57 vs 2.64, which limits the visitors' real ability to score. A simple Poisson estimate yields probability Leixões score ≥1 ≈79% and Oliveirense ≥1 ≈30%, giving BTTS around 24%, therefore I choose 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and match-data-based model indicates a total goals projection of approximately 3.03: (xG Leixões 1.38 + xG conceded Oliveirense 1.88)/2 = 1.63 for the home side and (xG Oliveirense 1.23 + xG conceded Leixões 1.56)/2 = 1.40 for the away side. Season-long metrics confirm Leixões’ propensity for higher scoring — on average 1.57 goals per match, 86% of matches over 1.5 and 64% over 2.5; Oliveirense averages only 0.36 goals, 36% over 1.5 and 14% over 2.5. Additionally, Leixões records an average of 4.57 shots on target with a 14% conversion rate, versus 2.64 and 3% for Oliveirense, which increases the likelihood of the home xG being realized. A Poisson model on these means yields ~81% for Over 1.5, ~58% for Over 2.5 and ~36% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Considering 1.63 expected goals for the hosts, 1.40 for the visitors and Leixões’ season 86% Over 1.5 rate, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the optimal market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Leixões exhibits a clear offensive and finishing advantage: on average 1.57 goals per game versus Oliveirense’s 0.36, with 4.57 shots on target and a 14% conversion rate compared to the visitors’ 2.64 and 3%. Leixões frequently leads at the break — they were leading after 45 minutes in 57% of home matches and average 0.79 goals by half-time, while Oliveirense lead away only 7% of the time and average 0.14 goals at the break. Oliveirense fail to score in 71% of away games and register only 0.36 goals seasonally, which sharply reduces the likelihood of a late equalizer; home xG is 1.38 versus the visitors’ 1.23, and with Leixões’ superior conversion this represents a tangible advantage. Considering the season totals (1.57 vs 0.36), half-time figures (0.79 vs 0.14) and lead-at-the-break rates (57% vs 7%), the most coherent scenario is Leixões leading at half-time and maintaining the win to full-time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leixões | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leixões is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Leixões · 0.4 pts / match - UD Oliveirense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leixões is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Leixões · 0.96 goals / match - UD Oliveirense
UD Oliveirense is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Leixões · 1.39 goals / match - UD Oliveirense
Leixões scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
UD Oliveirense scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Leixões keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leixões
Over / Under - UD Oliveirense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UD Oliveirense is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Leixões · 1.43 pts / match - UD Oliveirense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leixões - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UD Oliveirense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leixões
UD Oliveirense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Leixões | Liga | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.42 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 44% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 32% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leixões 0 - 0 - 1 UD Oliveirense. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leixões vs UD Oliveirense?
The LigaPro match finished Leixões 2:0 UD Oliveirense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leixões vs UD Oliveirense?
Leixões score 1.18 goals per game on average and UD Oliveirense 0.96. The LigaPro average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Leixões's matches and 39% of UD Oliveirense's.
What form are Leixões and UD Oliveirense in?
Over the last 5 games Leixões have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and UD Oliveirense 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leixões vs UD Oliveirense?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leixões vs UD Oliveirense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.