Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
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Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Jalisco.
Current form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.33 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.83 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 75%, Atlético Zacatepec 42%. Over 2.5: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 67%, Atlético Zacatepec 58%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.27. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 13.6 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 11.5.
Match halves
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-15 (8 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.2 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 181% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.83 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.92 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 156% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.75 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 3.26 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0 - 1 - 1 Atlético Zacatepec. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlético Zacatepec play?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara face Atlético Zacatepec on 18 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Jalisco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlético Zacatepec?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 0, Atlético Zacatepec won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 2.33 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 0.83. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 42% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.