Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio JaliscoData current as of 13 September 2026

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CA La Paz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 13 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Jalisco.

Current form

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. CA La Paz: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.43 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 2.14 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 71%, CA La Paz 43%. Over 2.5: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 71%, CA La Paz 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.52. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.0 shots per match, CA La Paz: 13.4.

Match halves

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.71. CA La Paz: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-15 (7 goals). CA La Paz: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
2.43Goals scored / match2.14
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
1.14Goals conceded / match1
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
49%Average possession48%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
5.57Shots on target / match5
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match13.43
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
5.57Shots on target5
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
20.2%Shot conversion16%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
49%Possession48%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
1.59xG for1.52
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
1.56xG against1.51
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

Shooting quality

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: Efficient finishingCA La Paz: Efficient finishing
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Accuracy (shots on target)46%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CA La Paz is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.6 pts / match - CA La Paz

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
LWWDW
Season result split
71% W14% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-1
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
CA La Paz
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

2.43 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.14 goals / match - CA La Paz

CA La Paz is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1 goals / match - CA La Paz

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scoring profile: very strong

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

17Goals scored (season)15
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
8Goals conceded (season)7
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
3.57Average goals in match3.14
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
11Goals scored (last 5)13
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal86%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
71%2 goals71%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
43%3 goals29%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
29%4 goals14%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
29%2 goals14%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
14%3 goals14%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
0%4 goals14%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 7 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time0%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
43%Scored in both halves29%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
80%BTTS - last 540%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
86%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
43%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.29 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.43 pts / match - CA La Paz

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - half-time state
71% leading14% draw14% trailing
CA La Paz - half-time state
71% leading29% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.29Points per match (1st half)2.43
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
1.71Goals scored (1st half)1.29
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
2.29Average goals (1st half)1.29
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
57%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
0%No goal before half-time29%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.14
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
57%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz
57%No goal after half-time57%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraCA La Paz

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
16
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CA La Paz - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match2.41.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
CA La Paz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+7+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 41% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraLigaCA La Paz
Average goals in match 3.573.31 3.14
Both teams scored 71%56% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%61% 57%
Clean sheets 29%24% 43%
Goal before half-time 100%77% 71%
Goal after half-time 57%76% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.31
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.97
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+47%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
37%
3 goals
18%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0 - 0 - 2 CA La Paz. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Club Atlético La Paz
3 : 0
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
2 : 3
Club Atlético La Paz

FAQ

When do Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and CA La Paz play?

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara face CA La Paz on 13 September 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Jalisco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and CA La Paz?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 0, CA La Paz won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CA La Paz?

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 2.43 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 2.14. The Ascenso MX average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 43% of CA La Paz's.

What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and CA La Paz in?

Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and CA La Paz 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CA La Paz?

The statistical background for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CA La Paz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.