Leopards vs Tusker: match statistics
Leopards are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 PPG. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 60% win rate and only a 10% loss rate, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Tusker, despite a decent away record (58% win rate), shows greater instability with a 33% away loss rate and worse form over their last five games (1.8 PPG). The difference in goal difference is clear - Leopards are at +9 in home matches, while Tusker is only at +3 away. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.76 vs 0.7 for the visitors), and Leopards fail to score less frequently at home (30% FTS) than Tusker does on the road. Considering Leopards' superiority in form, home efficiency, and defensive stability, a home win is the most probable scenario.
Leopards vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leopards played Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Leopards: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tusker: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leopards scores 1.33 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.96 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leopards 42%, Tusker 42%. Over 2.5: Leopards 38%, Tusker 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.40. Leopards: 8.8 shots per match, Tusker: 11.6.
Match halves
Leopards: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.38. Tusker: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Leopards: 0-15 (21 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.6 PPG. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 60% win rate and only a 10% loss rate, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Tusker, despite a decent away record (58% win rate), shows greater instability with a 33% away loss rate and worse form over their last five games (1.8 PPG). The difference in goal difference is clear - Leopards are at +9 in home matches, while Tusker is only at +3 away. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.76 vs 0.7 for the visitors), and Leopards fail to score less frequently at home (30% FTS) than Tusker does on the road. Considering Leopards' superiority in form, home efficiency, and defensive stability, a home win is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leopards | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tusker is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Leopards · 1.8 pts / match - Tusker
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Leopards · 0.96 goals / match - Tusker
Leopards is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Leopards · 1 goals / match - Tusker
Leopards scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Tusker scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leopards
Over / Under - Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tusker is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Leopards · 1.13 pts / match - Tusker
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leopards
Tusker
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Leopards | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.08 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 21% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 29% | 25% | • 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leopards 1 - 0 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leopards vs Tusker?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Leopards 1:0 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leopards vs Tusker?
Leopards score 1.33 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.96. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Leopards's matches and 42% of Tusker's.
What form are Leopards and Tusker in?
Over the last 5 games Leopards have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tusker 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leopards vs Tusker?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.