Latvia - VirsligaStadions DaugavaData current as of 15 October 2026

Liepāja vs FS Jelgava: match statistics

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Liepāja vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Liepāja play FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadions Daugava.

Current form

Liepāja: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. FS Jelgava: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Liepāja scores 1.34 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.06 and concedes 1.66. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Liepāja 56%, FS Jelgava 44%. Over 2.5: Liepāja 59%, FS Jelgava 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Liepāja has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.33. Liepāja: 13.0 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 11.1.

Match halves

Liepāja: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.72. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Liepāja: 76-90+ (12 goals). FS Jelgava: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 4-3-0. Average goals 2.14, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.30)
(2.93)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.34Goals scored / match1.06
LiepājaFS Jelgava
1.44Goals conceded / match1.66
LiepājaFS Jelgava
51%Average possession46%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
4.44Shots on target / match3.59
LiepājaFS Jelgava

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.03Shots per match11.06
LiepājaFS Jelgava
4.44Shots on target3.59
LiepājaFS Jelgava
10.3%Shot conversion9.6%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
51%Possession46%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
1.53xG for1.33
LiepājaFS Jelgava
1.54xG against1.75
LiepājaFS Jelgava

Shooting quality

Liepāja: BalancedFS Jelgava: Balanced
LiepājaFS Jelgava
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Liepāja is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Liepāja · 0.8 pts / match - FS Jelgava

Liepāja
WDDDL
Season result split
38% W22% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-13
1.34 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
FS Jelgava
WLDLL
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-16
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Liepāja is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.34 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.06 goals / match - FS Jelgava

Liepāja is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.66 goals / match - FS Jelgava

Liepāja scoring profile: very strong

Liepāja scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).

FS Jelgava scoring profile: strong

FS Jelgava scores in 53% of matches (17 of 32 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).

43Goals scored (season)34
LiepājaFS Jelgava
46Goals conceded (season)53
LiepājaFS Jelgava
2.78Average goals in match2.72
LiepājaFS Jelgava
7Goals scored (last 5)6
LiepājaFS Jelgava
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
LiepājaFS Jelgava

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal53%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
44%2 goals28%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
16%3 goals13%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
6%4 goals9%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal84%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
38%2 goals34%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
16%3 goals19%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
6%4 goals13%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time16%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
3%BTTS in both halves0%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
25%Scored in both halves22%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
60%BTTS - last 540%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Liepāja is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.34 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.22 pts / match - FS Jelgava

Liepāja - half-time state
38% leading22% draw41% trailing
FS Jelgava - half-time state
31% leading28% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)1.22
LiepājaFS Jelgava
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.53
LiepājaFS Jelgava
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
LiepājaFS Jelgava
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.22
LiepājaFS Jelgava
50%Clean sheet before half-time47%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
59%No goal before half-time59%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per match (2nd half)1.06
LiepājaFS Jelgava
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
LiepājaFS Jelgava
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.97
LiepājaFS Jelgava
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.5
LiepājaFS Jelgava
38%Clean sheet after half-time47%
LiepājaFS Jelgava
47%No goal after half-time66%
LiepājaFS Jelgava

Liepāja - second-half results

31% W34% D34% L
43
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FS Jelgava - second-half results

25% W31% D44% L
39
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Liepāja - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
FS Jelgava - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Liepāja
ScoredConceded
7
8
0-15
4
6
16-30
9
7
31-45
9
8
46-60
2
4
61-75
12
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

FS Jelgava
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
6
9
16-30
5
5
31-45
4
8
46-60
7
8
61-75
6
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Liepāja

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

FS Jelgava

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

LiepājaLigaFS Jelgava
Average goals in match• 2.782.87▼ 2.72
Both teams scored• 56%55%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 59%53%▼ 41%
Clean sheets▼ 19%25%▼ 16%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%74%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time• 81%81%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Liepāja 4 - 3 - 0 FS Jelgava. Average goals 2.14, both teams scored in 57% matches.

FS Jelgava
0 : 2
Liepāja
FS Jelgava
1 : 1
Liepāja
Liepāja
1 : 1
FS Jelgava
FK Liepāja
2 : 2
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1 : 2
FK Liepāja
FS Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Liepāja
FK Liepāja
1 : 0
FS Jelgava

FAQ

When do Liepāja and FS Jelgava play?

Liepāja face FS Jelgava on 18 October 2026 in Virsliga at Stadions Daugava. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and FS Jelgava?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 4, FS Jelgava won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs FS Jelgava?

Liepāja score 1.34 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.06. The Virsliga average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Liepāja's matches and 44% of FS Jelgava's.

What form are Liepāja and FS Jelgava in?

Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and FS Jelgava 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs FS Jelgava?

The statistical background for Liepāja vs FS Jelgava — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.