Liepāja vs Super Nova: match statistics
Liepāja vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liepāja play Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 12 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Stadions Daugava. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Liepāja: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liepāja scores 1.27 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liepāja 55%, Super Nova 61%. Over 2.5: Liepāja 59%, Super Nova 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Liepāja has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.19. Liepāja: 12.4 shots per match, Super Nova: 9.0.
Match halves
Liepāja: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68. Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Liepāja: 31-45+ (7 goals). Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-1-2. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Liepāja is the favorite in this match due to superior form and efficiency: in the last 5 matches the home side scored 11 goals (2.2 per match) and average 2.0 points per match, while Super Nova scored 7 goals in their last 5 (1.4 per match) and average 1.4 points per match. At home Liepāja averages 1.75 goals per game with 10.5 shots and 4.75 shots on target, and has a 17% conversion rate, whereas the visitors on the road average 1.00 goal with 8.33 shots and 3.33 shots on target and a 12% conversion. Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal at home and have an average xG against of 1.32, while Super Nova concedes 1.11 goals away and allows 1.52 xG against, giving Liepāja a slight qualitative edge in chance control. Additionally, Liepāja is less likely to be shut out (13% of home matches without scoring vs 33% for the visitors) and has a home goal difference of +6, while Super Nova have an away goal difference of -1. Given the advantage in chance creation and finishing (4.75 vs 3.33 shots on target and 17% vs 12% conversion) I predict a home win; probability distribution: 60% Liepāja, 20% draw, 20% Super Nova.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liepāja | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.2 pts / match - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liepāja is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.09 goals / match - Super Nova
Liepāja scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Liepāja
Over / Under — Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liepāja is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.04 pts / match - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liepāja
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Liepāja | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Liepāja 2 - 1 - 2 Super Nova. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liepāja vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Liepāja 2:1 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and Super Nova?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 2, Super Nova won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs Super Nova?
Liepāja score 1.27 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.09. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Liepāja's matches and 61% of Super Nova's.
What form are Liepāja and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Super Nova 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs Super Nova?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Liepāja vs Super Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.