Latvia - VirsligaStadions DaugavaData current as of 20 October 2026

Liepāja vs Tukums: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Liepāja vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Liepāja play Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stadions Daugava.

Current form

Liepāja: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Tukums: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Liepāja scores 1.39 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.33 and concedes 1.97. League average: 2.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Liepāja 55%, Tukums 76%. Over 2.5: Liepāja 61%, Tukums 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Liepāja has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.37. Liepāja: 13.2 shots per match, Tukums: 11.3.

Match halves

Liepāja: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.76. Tukums: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Liepāja: 76-90+ (12 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-3-1. Average goals 3.29, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.61)
(3.95)
(4.54)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.39Goals scored / match1.33
LiepājaTukums
1.39Goals conceded / match1.97
LiepājaTukums
51%Average possession43%
LiepājaTukums
4.45Shots on target / match4.39
LiepājaTukums

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.18Shots per match11.3
LiepājaTukums
4.45Shots on target4.39
LiepājaTukums
10.6%Shot conversion11.8%
LiepājaTukums
51%Possession43%
LiepājaTukums
1.54xG for1.37
LiepājaTukums
1.52xG against1.78
LiepājaTukums

Shooting quality

Liepāja: BalancedTukums: Balanced
LiepājaTukums
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Liepāja is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Liepāja · 0.8 pts / match - Tukums

Liepāja
DDDLW
Season result split
39% W21% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-13
1.39 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Tukums
WLDLL
Season result split
15% W27% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-9-19
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-12
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Liepāja is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.39 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.33 goals / match - Tukums

Liepāja is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.39 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.97 goals / match - Tukums

Liepāja scoring profile: very strong

Liepāja scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 33 matches).

Tukums scoring profile: very strong

Tukums scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).

46Goals scored (season)44
LiepājaTukums
46Goals conceded (season)65
LiepājaTukums
2.79Average goals in match3.3
LiepājaTukums
7Goals scored (last 5)3
LiepājaTukums
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
LiepājaTukums

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal79%
LiepājaTukums
45%2 goals27%
LiepājaTukums
18%3 goals12%
LiepājaTukums
6%4 goals6%
LiepājaTukums

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal97%
LiepājaTukums
36%2 goals61%
LiepājaTukums
15%3 goals33%
LiepājaTukums
6%4 goals6%
LiepājaTukums

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time33%
LiepājaTukums
3%BTTS in both halves6%
LiepājaTukums
27%Scored in both halves21%
LiepājaTukums

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
LiepājaTukums
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
LiepājaTukums
40%BTTS - last 540%
LiepājaTukums

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
LiepājaTukums
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
LiepājaTukums
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
LiepājaTukums

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
LiepājaTukums
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
LiepājaTukums
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
LiepājaTukums

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Liepāja is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Liepāja · 0.91 pts / match - Tukums

Liepāja - half-time state
39% leading21% draw39% trailing
Tukums - half-time state
18% leading36% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)0.91
LiepājaTukums
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.64
LiepājaTukums
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.94
LiepājaTukums
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.58
LiepājaTukums
52%Clean sheet before half-time30%
LiepājaTukums
58%No goal before half-time52%
LiepājaTukums

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.09
LiepājaTukums
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
LiepājaTukums
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
LiepājaTukums
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.73
LiepājaTukums
39%Clean sheet after half-time30%
LiepājaTukums
45%No goal after half-time48%
LiepājaTukums

Liepāja - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tukums - second-half results

27% W27% D45% L
30
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 15%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Liepāja - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tukums - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Liepāja
ScoredConceded
8
8
0-15
4
6
16-30
9
7
31-45
10
8
46-60
3
4
61-75
12
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tukums
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
6
13
16-30
11
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
4
14
61-75
15
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Liepāja

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Tukums

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

LiepājaLigaTukums
Average goals in match▼ 2.792.89▲ 3.30
Both teams scored• 55%55%▲ 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 61%55%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 21%25%▼ 3%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%74%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time• 82%81%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Liepāja 3 - 3 - 1 Tukums. Average goals 3.29, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Tukums
2 : 1
Liepāja
Liepāja
3 : 0
Tukums
Tukums
2 : 2
Liepāja
FK Liepāja
4 : 1
FK Tukums 2000
FK Tukums 2000
1 : 3
FK Liepāja
FK Tukums 2000
2 : 2
FK Liepāja
FK Liepāja
0 : 0
FK Tukums 2000

FAQ

When do Liepāja and Tukums play?

Liepāja face Tukums on 24 October 2026 in Virsliga at Stadions Daugava. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and Tukums?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 3, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs Tukums?

Liepāja score 1.39 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.33. The Virsliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Liepāja's matches and 76% of Tukums's.

What form are Liepāja and Tukums in?

Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Tukums 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs Tukums?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.