France - Ligue 1Stade Pierre-MauroyData current as of 08 October 2026

Lille vs Le Havre: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lille vs Le Havre: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lille play Le Havre in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 10 October 2026. Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Current form

Lille: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Le Havre: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lille scores 1.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Le Havre scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lille 40%, Le Havre 60%. Over 2.5: Lille 40%, Le Havre 40%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Le Havre has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.52. Lille: 12.8 shots per match, Le Havre: 15.4.

Match halves

Lille: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.80. Le Havre: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Lille: 76-90+ (3 goals). Le Havre: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.45)
(4.99)
(8.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match0.8
LilleLe Havre
0.8Goals conceded / match1.4
LilleLe Havre
47%Average possession48%
LilleLe Havre
6.4Shots on target / match5
LilleLe Havre

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.8Shots per match15.4
LilleLe Havre
6.4Shots on target5
LilleLe Havre
12.5%Shot conversion5.2%
LilleLe Havre
47%Possession48%
LilleLe Havre
1.52xG for1.64
LilleLe Havre
1.76xG against1.57
LilleLe Havre

Shooting quality

Lille: Counter-attackingLe Havre: Attacking
LilleLe Havre
Accuracy (shots on target)50%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.16

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lille is 400% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Lille · 0.4 pts / match - Le Havre

Lille
WDWWL
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Le Havre
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W40% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lille is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Lille · 0.8 goals / match - Le Havre

Lille is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Lille · 1.4 goals / match - Le Havre

Lille scoring profile: very strong

Lille scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Le Havre keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Le Havre scoring profile: mixed

Le Havre scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

8Goals scored (season)4
LilleLe Havre
4Goals conceded (season)7
LilleLe Havre
2.4Average goals in match2.2
LilleLe Havre
8Goals scored (last 5)4
LilleLe Havre
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
LilleLe Havre

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
LilleLe Havre
60%2 goals20%
LilleLe Havre
0%3 goals0%
LilleLe Havre
0%4 goals0%
LilleLe Havre

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal80%
LilleLe Havre
40%2 goals40%
LilleLe Havre
0%3 goals20%
LilleLe Havre
0%4 goals0%
LilleLe Havre

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
LilleLe Havre
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LilleLe Havre
40%Scored in both halves0%
LilleLe Havre

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
LilleLe Havre
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LilleLe Havre
40%BTTS - last 560%
LilleLe Havre

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
LilleLe Havre
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
LilleLe Havre
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LilleLe Havre

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
LilleLe Havre
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
LilleLe Havre
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
LilleLe Havre

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lille is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Lille · 0.6 pts / match - Le Havre

Lille - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing
Le Havre - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)0.6
LilleLe Havre
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0
LilleLe Havre
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
LilleLe Havre
1Average goals (1st half)0.4
LilleLe Havre
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
LilleLe Havre
40%No goal before half-time100%
LilleLe Havre

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)0.8
LilleLe Havre
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
LilleLe Havre
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1
LilleLe Havre
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.8
LilleLe Havre
60%Clean sheet after half-time40%
LilleLe Havre
20%No goal after half-time40%
LilleLe Havre

Lille - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Le Havre - second-half results

0% W80% D20% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lille - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Le Havre - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lille
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Le Havre
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Le Havre

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

LilleLigaLe Havre
Average goals in match▼ 2.402.84▼ 2.20
Both teams scored▼ 40%60%• 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%60%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▲ 60%24%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%69%▼ 40%
Goal after half-time• 80%80%▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Lille 1 - 1 - 0 Le Havre. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Lille and Le Havre play?

Lille face Le Havre on 10 October 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Le Havre?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 1, Le Havre won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Le Havre?

Lille score 1.60 goals per game on average and Le Havre 0.80. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Lille's matches and 60% of Le Havre's.

What form are Lille and Le Havre in?

Over the last 5 games Lille have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Le Havre 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Le Havre?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lille vs Le Havre: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.