Lillestrøm vs Molde: match statistics
Lillestrøm vs Molde: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lillestrøm played Molde in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Åråsen Stadion. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Lillestrøm: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Molde: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lillestrøm scores 1.33 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Molde scores 2.10 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lillestrøm 43%, Molde 71%. Over 2.5: Lillestrøm 52%, Molde 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Molde has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.42. Lillestrøm: 12.6 shots per match, Molde: 15.6.
Match halves
Lillestrøm: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.81. Molde: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Lillestrøm: 76-90+ (9 goals). Molde: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Molde sit 4th, while Lillestrøm are 6th. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals in that run, while the hosts have recorded 3 wins and scored 10 goals. Away from home, Molde average 2 goals and 6.4 shots on target per match, compared with Lillestrøm’s 1.7 goals and 3.7 shots on target at home. The xG figures also point to the visitors’ edge in chance creation: 1.79 away from home versus the hosts’ 1.40 on their own ground. However, backing Molde calls for caution, as they concede an average of 1.9 goals away from home, while Lillestrøm have won 50% of their home matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: the BTTS rate is 64% for Lillestrøm and 80% for Molde, compared with 57% league-wide. The hosts average 2.18 goals, while the visitors average 2.00, with Molde conceding 1.90 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in only 10% of games. The case for an away goal is also supported by their average xG of 1.79 and the fact that Lillestrøm have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches. Over the same period, both teams scored in 60% of their matches, which tempers the assessment slightly, but their season-long scoring records and Molde’s defensive frailties still clearly point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 82% of Lillestrøm’s matches and 90% of Molde’s. The hosts average 2.18 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.90, boosting the chances of Lillestrøm finding the net. Molde average 2.00 goals, and their attacking xG of 1.79 compares with 1.19 xG conceded by the hosts, giving the visitors a strong case to score as well. Over the last five matches, both teams cleared the 2.5-goal line in 80% of games, but taking the lower line reduces the risk associated with a 1:1 or 2:0 result. With 3.70 goals projected in total, Over 1.5 is the most likely pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lillestrøm have led at the break in 55% of their matches, while Molde have been trailing at half-time in 30% of their games. The hosts concede an average of 0.55 goals before the break, compared with 1.1 for the visitors, which points to Lillestrøm leading after 45 minutes. The hosts also have the edge in overall results: they win 64% of their matches and score an average of 2.18 goals, while Molde win 40% and concede an average of 1.9 goals. The visitors’ strong recent form—four wins and four half-time leads in five matches—also gives the 2/2 outcome a meaningful chance. Nevertheless, Lillestrøm’s advantage in season-long results and defensive performance makes them most likely to maintain their lead from half-time to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lillestrøm | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Molde is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 2.4 pts / match - Molde
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Molde is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 2.1 goals / match - Molde
Lillestrøm is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 1.52 goals / match - Molde
Lillestrøm scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Molde scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
Over / Under - Molde
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Molde is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 1.71 pts / match - Molde
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Molde - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lillestrøm
Molde
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Lillestrøm | Liga | Molde | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 85% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Lillestrøm 1 - 0 - 2 Molde. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lillestrøm vs Molde?
The Eliteserien match finished Lillestrøm 2:2 Molde. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrøm and Molde?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 1, Molde won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lillestrøm vs Molde?
Lillestrøm score 1.33 goals per game on average and Molde 2.10. The Eliteserien average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Lillestrøm's matches and 71% of Molde's.
What form are Lillestrøm and Molde in?
Over the last 5 games Lillestrøm have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Molde 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lillestrøm vs Molde?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.