Livorno vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Livorno presents better home form with a 44% win rate, while Athletic Carpi has only a 33% away win rate and a high 60% loss rate. The hosts score an average of 1.31 goals per home match, which is significantly better than the visitors' 0.8 away goals. Athletic Carpi struggles offensively, failing to score in 40% of their away matches. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -10, indicating clear defensive issues. Even though both teams have an identical points record over their last 5 matches (1 PPG), Livorno's home advantage and Athletic Carpi's away weaknesses advocate for a home win. The visitors' higher xG For (1.3 vs 1.46) does not compensate for their poor efficiency (7% shot conversion rate) and struggles in keeping a clean sheet.
Livorno vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Livorno played Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Livorno: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Livorno scores 1.03 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 0.90 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Livorno 57%, Athletic Carpi 47%. Over 2.5: Livorno 60%, Athletic Carpi 30%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.32. Livorno: 10.2 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 12.4.
Match halves
Livorno: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.57. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Livorno: 76-90+ (8 goals). Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Livorno presents better home form with a 44% win rate, while Athletic Carpi has only a 33% away win rate and a high 60% loss rate. The hosts score an average of 1.31 goals per home match, which is significantly better than the visitors' 0.8 away goals. Athletic Carpi struggles offensively, failing to score in 40% of their away matches. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -10, indicating clear defensive issues. Even though both teams have an identical points record over their last 5 matches (1 PPG), Livorno's home advantage and Athletic Carpi's away weaknesses advocate for a home win. The visitors' higher xG For (1.3 vs 1.46) does not compensate for their poor efficiency (7% shot conversion rate) and struggles in keeping a clean sheet.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Livorno | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Livorno is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Livorno · 0.9 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Athletic Carpi is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Livorno · 1.27 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Livorno scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Athletic Carpi scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livorno
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livorno is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Livorno · 0.93 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Livorno
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Livorno | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.26 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 39% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 63% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Livorno 0 - 0 - 1 Athletic Carpi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Livorno vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Livorno 2:2 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livorno vs Athletic Carpi?
Livorno score 1.03 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.90. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Livorno's matches and 47% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Livorno and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Livorno have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livorno vs Athletic Carpi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Livorno vs Athletic Carpi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.