Bulgaria - First LeagueData current as of 12 September 2026

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia: match statistics

130%(3.10)
X25%(2.85)
245%(2.19)

CSKA 1948 Sofia presents a clear advantage in key away statistics. The visitors achieve a 55% win rate away against the hosts' 50% at home, and their average goals scored (1.27) exceeds Lokomotiv Plovdiv's achievements at their own stadium (1.00). CSKA boasts a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%) and higher average xG (1.46 vs 1.32), confirming greater offensive efficiency. Lokomotiv Plovdiv is in solid form with three draws and two victories in the last five matches; however, CSKA occupies a higher position in the table (3rd place vs 6th place) and has a better goal difference away (+4 vs +2 for the hosts). Possession at the level of 55% for the visitors and 45% clean sheets in away matches further support the scenario of a CSKA 1948 Sofia victory. Taking all statistical data into account, the visitors have a real chance to break the hosts' solid defense and secure three points.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lokomotiv Plovdiv played CSKA 1948 Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 5 March 2026. Final score: 0:5.

Current form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. CSKA 1948 Sofia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.09 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. CSKA 1948 Sofia scores 1.52 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 52%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 52%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 35%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 52%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

CSKA 1948 Sofia has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.33. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 10.4 shots per match, CSKA 1948 Sofia: 11.6.

Match halves

Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.52. CSKA 1948 Sofia: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 76-90+ (9 goals). CSKA 1948 Sofia: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CSKA 1948 Sofia presents a clear advantage in key away statistics. The visitors achieve a 55% win rate away against the hosts' 50% at home, and their average goals scored (1.27) exceeds Lokomotiv Plovdiv's achievements at their own stadium (1.00). CSKA boasts a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%) and higher average xG (1.46 vs 1.32), confirming greater offensive efficiency. Lokomotiv Plovdiv is in solid form with three draws and two victories in the last five matches; however, CSKA occupies a higher position in the table (3rd place vs 6th place) and has a better goal difference away (+4 vs +2 for the hosts). Possession at the level of 55% for the visitors and 45% clean sheets in away matches further support the scenario of a CSKA 1948 Sofia victory. Taking all statistical data into account, the visitors have a real chance to break the hosts' solid defense and secure three points.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
12Shots7
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
2Shots on target4
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
1.43xG1.15
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
4Corners2
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
73Dangerous attacks57
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
10Fouls6
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
2Cards2
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
1.09Goals scored / match1.52
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
1.09Goals conceded / match1.09
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
46%Average possession52%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
3.83Shots on target / match4.52
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.39Shots per match11.57
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
3.83Shots on target4.52
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
10.5%Shot conversion13.2%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
46%Possession52%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
1.33xG for1.49
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
1.39xG against1.3
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

Shooting quality

Lokomotiv Plovdiv: BalancedCSKA 1948 Sofia: Efficient finishing
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
Accuracy (shots on target)37%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CSKA 1948 Sofia is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.4 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LWDDD
Season result split
35% W48% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-11-4
1.52 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WDLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
DWLLW
Season result split
57% W17% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-6
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CSKA 1948 Sofia is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.52 goals / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia

Lokomotiv Plovdiv scoring profile: strong

Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while CSKA 1948 Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

CSKA 1948 Sofia scoring profile: strong

CSKA 1948 Sofia scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

25Goals scored (season)35
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
25Goals conceded (season)25
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
2.17Average goals in match2.61
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal78%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
26%2 goals39%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
4%3 goals17%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
0%4 goals13%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal65%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
26%2 goals26%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
9%3 goals13%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
9%4 goals4%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 23 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time22%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
17%Scored in both halves30%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
60%BTTS - last 520%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CSKA 1948 Sofia is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.78 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - half-time state
43% leading39% draw17% trailing
CSKA 1948 Sofia - half-time state
48% leading35% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per match (1st half)1.78
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
0.26Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.26
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
78%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
52%No goal before half-time39%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
52%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia
52%No goal after half-time52%
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948 Sofia

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results

17% W61% D22% L
39
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CSKA 1948 Sofia - second-half results

35% W35% D30% L
41
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
7
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

CSKA 1948 Sofia
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
8
9
31-45
4
4
46-60
10
3
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

Lokomotiv PlovdivLigaCSKA 1948 Sofia
Average goals in match 2.172.33 2.61
Both teams scored 52%46% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%44% 52%
Clean sheets 35%34% 35%
Goal before half-time 65%64% 78%
Goal after half-time 61%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CSKA 1948 SofiaYellow cardElias Corrêa Franco
  2. Lokomotiv PlovdivGoalLucas Ryan Dias Santos
  3. Lokomotiv PlovdivYellow cardParvizchon Umarbaev
  4. CSKA 1948 SofiaGoalFlorian KrebsAssist: Elias Corrêa Franco
  5. Lokomotiv PlovdivSubstitutionOn: Gianni Francisco Politino ToumaOff: Julien Lamy
  6. CSKA 1948 SofiaGoalMamadou DialloAssist: Frédéric Ferreira Maciel
  7. CSKA 1948 SofiaYellow cardFlorian Krebs
  8. Lokomotiv PlovdivYellow cardSevi Sevitin Idriz
  9. CSKA 1948 SofiaSubstitutionOn: Kaloyan Radostinov StrinskiOff: Frédéric Ferreira Maciel
  10. Lokomotiv PlovdivSubstitutionOn: Denis KirashkiOff: Ivaylo Ivaylov Ivanov
  11. CSKA 1948 SofiaGoalElias Corrêa Franco
  12. CSKA 1948 SofiaGoalAtanas Iliev

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 0 - 1 CSKA 1948 Sofia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FK CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 0
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv

FAQ

What was the result of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

The First League match finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0:5 CSKA 1948 Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 1.09 goals per game on average and CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.52. The First League average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's matches and 52% of CSKA 1948 Sofia's.

What form are Lokomotiv Plovdiv and CSKA 1948 Sofia in?

Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.