Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiva Zagreb play Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Istra 1961: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 1.08 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiva Zagreb 64%, Istra 1961 53%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiva Zagreb 42%, Istra 1961 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiva Zagreb has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.30. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 10.2 shots per match, Istra 1961: 10.3.
Match halves
Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56. Istra 1961: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (8 goals). Istra 1961: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Lokomotiva has the advantage in chance creation at home: on average 10.71 shots and 3.86 on target per game versus Istra’s 8.79 and 3.14 away, while average xG for the home side is 1.36 compared to 1.17 for the visitors. The defense also leans in Lokomotiva’s favor — they concede 1.43 goals per home game with an xG against of 1.47, whereas Istra allows 1.5 goals on average away and has an xG against as high as 2.08. The key difference is efficiency and consistency: Lokomotiva failed to score in only 7% of home matches, while Istra were shut out in 36% of away games, which favors the hosts. Istra’s recent form is a counterpoint — better in the last five matches with 2 wins and an average of 1.2 points per game, while Lokomotiva has 0 wins, 0.6 points per game and scored only 4 goals while conceding 10 in their last 5. Considering the higher quality of created chances by Lokomotiva and the significantly worse xG-against for Istra on the road, I predict a home win; suggested probabilities: home 55%, draw 25%, away 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Istra 1961 is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.4 pts / match - Istra 1961
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Istra 1961 scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under — Istra 1961
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 0.89 pts / match - Istra 1961
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 - 2 - 1 Istra 1961. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 2:0 Istra 1961. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Istra 1961?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0, Istra 1961 won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.11 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 1.08. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 53% of Istra 1961's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Istra 1961 in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Istra 1961 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
The statistical background for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.