Lomza vs Olimpia Elbląg: match statistics
Lomza vs Olimpia Elbląg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lomza played Olimpia Elbląg in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Miejski. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Lomza: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Olimpia Elbląg: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lomza scores 1.00 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.40 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lomza 60%, Olimpia Elbląg 80%. Over 2.5: Lomza 50%, Olimpia Elbląg 80%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Olimpia Elbląg has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.25. Lomza: 9.1 shots per match, Olimpia Elbląg: 10.5.
Match halves
Lomza: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.30. Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Lomza: 31-45+ (4 goals). Olimpia Elbląg: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.66 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpia Elbląg are more likely to win, although their defensive frailties mean Łomża cannot be ruled out of taking points. The hosts are yet to win any of their 10 matches this season and have collected just 1 point from their last five; the visitors have also lost 4 of their last 5 games, but did win one of them. At home, Łomża score an average of just 0.25 goals and have failed to score in 75% of matches, while Olimpia average 1.5 goals per away game and have scored in every one. The visitors hit the target more often (3.33 versus 1.5 shots per match), and their away xG stands at 1.34, compared with Łomża’s 1.03 at home. Olimpia’s main concern is their average of 2.25 goals conceded away from home, but the hosts’ lack of attacking potency makes the “2” pick appealing.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 67% of Łomża's matches and 100% of Olimpia Elbląg's, compared with a league average of 70%. The visitors scored an average of 1.50 goals per match and failed to score in none of their games, while the hosts conceded an average of 1.83 goals. Łomża, meanwhile, scored an average of 1.33 goals, while Olimpia conceded 2.25 and failed to keep a clean sheet on any occasion. Over their last five matches, both teams scored an average of 1 goal but conceded 2.6 and 2.2 respectively, further supporting the prospect of goals at both ends. Therefore, BTTS - Yes appears more likely, although the teams' lower attacking output in their last five games reduces confidence in the prediction.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 83% of Łomża’s matches and 100% of Olimpia Elbląg’s. Both defences concede heavily—Łomża average 1.83 goals conceded per match, while Olimpia average 2.25—which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. The last five matches confirm this trend, with Łomża conceding an average of 2.6 goals and Olimpia 2.2. An estimated total of 3.45 goals also favours Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line offers a clearer edge, especially as both teams have cleared it in most of their matches so far.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest pre-break signal favors Łomża: the hosts led at half-time in 3 of 6 matches and were never trailing, while Olimpia went into the break behind in 2 of 3 games. Łomża also creates more chances, averaging 1.63 xG compared with the visitors’ 1.34, and taking 14.5 shots against 6.33. However, their ability to maintain a lead is less certain, as the hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals after the break and have not won any of their last five matches. Even so, 1/1 remains the single most likely scenario: Olimpia concede an average of 2.25 goals per match and have not kept a clean sheet, giving Łomża a chance both to take the lead and to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lomza | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olimpia Elbląg is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Lomza · 0.6 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpia Elbląg is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Lomza · 1.4 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Olimpia Elbląg is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - Lomza · 2 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Lomza scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Olimpia Elbląg scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Lomza keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lomza
Over / Under - Olimpia Elbląg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpia Elbląg is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Lomza · 1.6 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lomza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lomza
Olimpia Elbląg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Lomza | Liga | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.30 | 3.66 | ▼ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 16% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Olimpia ElblągGoalDawid Wierzba
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lomza 2 - 0 - 0 Olimpia Elbląg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lomza vs Olimpia Elbląg?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Lomza 0:2 Olimpia Elbląg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lomza and Olimpia Elbląg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lomza won 2, Olimpia Elbląg won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lomza vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Lomza score 1.00 goals per game on average and Olimpia Elbląg 1.40. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Lomza's matches and 80% of Olimpia Elbląg's.
What form are Lomza and Olimpia Elbląg in?
Over the last 5 games Lomza have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Olimpia Elbląg 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lomza vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lomza vs Olimpia Elbląg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


