France - Ligue 1Stade Yves Allainmat - Le MoustoirData current as of 02 November 2026

Lorient vs Brest: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lorient vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lorient play Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 2 November 2026. Venue: Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir.

Current form

Lorient: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Brest: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lorient scores 0.88 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Brest scores 1.75 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lorient 38%, Brest 88%. Over 2.5: Lorient 38%, Brest 75%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Brest has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.11. Lorient: 9.8 shots per match, Brest: 17.0.

Match halves

Lorient: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Brest: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Lorient: 31-45+ (2 goals). Brest: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.93)
(3.62)
(2.52)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.88Goals scored / match1.75
LorientBrest
0.75Goals conceded / match1.5
LorientBrest
47%Average possession46%
LorientBrest
3.13Shots on target / match5.88
LorientBrest

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.75Shots per match17
LorientBrest
3.13Shots on target5.88
LorientBrest
9%Shot conversion10.3%
LorientBrest
47%Possession46%
LorientBrest
1.11xG for1.74
LorientBrest
1.5xG against1.34
LorientBrest

Shooting quality

Lorient: BalancedBrest: Attacking
LorientBrest
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lorient is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Lorient · 0.8 pts / match - Brest

Lorient
DLWWD
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Brest
LLWDL
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
DWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Brest is 99% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Lorient · 1.75 goals / match - Brest

Lorient is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Lorient · 1.5 goals / match - Brest

Lorient scoring profile: very strong

Lorient scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

Brest scoring profile: strong

Brest scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).

7Goals scored (season)14
LorientBrest
6Goals conceded (season)12
LorientBrest
1.63Average goals in match3.25
LorientBrest
5Goals scored (last 5)8
LorientBrest
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
LorientBrest

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal88%
LorientBrest
13%2 goals50%
LorientBrest
0%3 goals13%
LorientBrest
0%4 goals13%
LorientBrest

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal100%
LorientBrest
38%2 goals50%
LorientBrest
0%3 goals0%
LorientBrest
0%4 goals0%
LorientBrest

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
LorientBrest
0%BTTS in both halves25%
LorientBrest
0%Scored in both halves50%
LorientBrest

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
LorientBrest
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LorientBrest
40%BTTS - last 580%
LorientBrest

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

38%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
LorientBrest
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
LorientBrest
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
LorientBrest

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
LorientBrest
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
LorientBrest
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LorientBrest

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Brest is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Lorient · 2.13 pts / match - Brest

Lorient - half-time state
13% leading63% draw25% trailing
Brest - half-time state
63% leading25% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)2.13
LorientBrest
0.25Goals scored (1st half)1.25
LorientBrest
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
LorientBrest
0.63Average goals (1st half)1.63
LorientBrest
75%Clean sheet before half-time63%
LorientBrest
88%No goal before half-time13%
LorientBrest

After half-time (2nd half)

1.88Points per match (2nd half)0.63
LorientBrest
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
LorientBrest
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
LorientBrest
1Average goals (2nd half)1.63
LorientBrest
75%Clean sheet after half-time13%
LorientBrest
38%No goal after half-time50%
LorientBrest

Lorient - second-half results

50% W38% D13% L
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Brest - second-half results

0% W63% D38% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding40%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lorient - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Brest - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.40
Goals scored / match1.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+6-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lorient
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Brest
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lorient

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Brest

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

LorientLigaBrest
Average goals in match▼ 1.633.05▲ 3.25
Both teams scored▼ 38%61%▲ 88%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%60%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▲ 63%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 38%71%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%83%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.05
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Lorient 0 - 1 - 1 Brest. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0
FC Lorient
FC Lorient
3 : 3
Stade Brestois 29

FAQ

When do Lorient and Brest play?

Lorient face Brest on 2 November 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Brest?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lorient won 0, Brest won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lorient vs Brest?

Lorient score 0.88 goals per game on average and Brest 1.75. The Ligue 1 average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lorient's matches and 88% of Brest's.

What form are Lorient and Brest in?

Over the last 5 games Lorient have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Brest 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lorient vs Brest?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lorient vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.