United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 19 September 2026

Louisville City vs Loudoun United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Louisville City vs Loudoun United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Louisville City play Loudoun United in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Loudoun United: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Loudoun United scores 1.20 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Louisville City 56%, Loudoun United 73%. Over 2.5: Louisville City 50%, Loudoun United 60%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.38. Louisville City: 16.5 shots per match, Loudoun United: 11.3.

Match halves

Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00. Loudoun United: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Loudoun United: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Louisville CityLoudoun United
1.63Goals scored / match1.2
Louisville CityLoudoun United
1.56Goals conceded / match1.93
Louisville CityLoudoun United
53%Average possession49%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
5Shots on target / match3.8
Louisville CityLoudoun United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match11.27
Louisville CityLoudoun United
5Shots on target3.8
Louisville CityLoudoun United
9.8%Shot conversion10.7%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
53%Possession49%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
1.95xG for1.38
Louisville CityLoudoun United
1.18xG against1.73
Louisville CityLoudoun United

Shooting quality

Louisville City: AttackingLoudoun United: Balanced
Louisville CityLoudoun United
Accuracy (shots on target)30%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Louisville City is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Louisville City · 0.6 pts / match - Loudoun United

Louisville City
DWDWL
Season result split
44% W19% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-6
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Loudoun United
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
7% W60% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-9-5
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Louisville City is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Louisville City · 1.2 goals / match - Loudoun United

Louisville City is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Louisville City · 1.93 goals / match - Loudoun United

Louisville City scoring profile: very strong

Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Loudoun United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

Loudoun United scoring profile: very strong

Loudoun United scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

26Goals scored (season)18
Louisville CityLoudoun United
25Goals conceded (season)29
Louisville CityLoudoun United
3.19Average goals in match3.13
Louisville CityLoudoun United
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Louisville CityLoudoun United
6Goals conceded (last 5)12
Louisville CityLoudoun United

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal80%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
44%2 goals33%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
25%3 goals7%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
13%4 goals0%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal73%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
56%2 goals60%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
19%3 goals40%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
6%4 goals20%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time27%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
25%BTTS in both halves27%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
31%Scored in both halves27%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Louisville City is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Louisville City · 0.73 pts / match - Loudoun United

Louisville City - half-time state
6% leading69% draw25% trailing
Loudoun United - half-time state
7% leading53% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)0.73
Louisville CityLoudoun United
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Louisville CityLoudoun United
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
Louisville CityLoudoun United
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.27
Louisville CityLoudoun United
38%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
56%No goal before half-time67%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)0.93
Louisville CityLoudoun United
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Louisville CityLoudoun United
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)1.07
Louisville CityLoudoun United
1.81Average goals (2nd half)1.87
Louisville CityLoudoun United
44%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Louisville CityLoudoun United
31%No goal after half-time27%
Louisville CityLoudoun United

Louisville City - second-half results

44% W25% D31% L
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding733%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Loudoun United - second-half results

13% W53% D33% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 7%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Louisville City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Loudoun United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Louisville City
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
6
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Loudoun United
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
7
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
5
46-60
4
4
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Louisville City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Loudoun United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Louisville CityLigaLoudoun United
Average goals in match 3.192.79 3.13
Both teams scored 56%58% 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 60%
Clean sheets 25%26% 27%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 73%
Goal after half-time 94%80% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Louisville City 4 - 1 - 0 Loudoun United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 40% matches.

Loudoun United FC
3 : 3
Louisville City FC
Loudoun United FC
1 : 4
Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC
2 : 0
Loudoun United FC
Louisville City
1 : 0
Loudoun United
Loudoun United
0 : 1
Louisville City

FAQ

When do Louisville City and Loudoun United play?

Louisville City face Loudoun United on 19 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Louisville City and Loudoun United?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 4, Loudoun United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

Louisville City score 1.63 goals per game on average and Loudoun United 1.20. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Louisville City's matches and 73% of Loudoun United's.

What form are Louisville City and Loudoun United in?

Over the last 5 games Louisville City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Loudoun United 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

The statistical background for Louisville City vs Loudoun United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.