Lugano vs Basel: match statistics
Lugano vs Basel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lugano play Basel in Super League (Switzerland). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 16:30. Venue: Stadio di Cornaredo. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Lugano: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Basel: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lugano scores 1.55 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Basel scores 1.45 and concedes 1.53. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lugano 61%, Basel 61%. Over 2.5: Lugano 47%, Basel 63%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Basel has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.49. Lugano: 13.3 shots per match, Basel: 15.3.
Match halves
Lugano: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.87. Basel: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Lugano: 61-75 (14 goals). Basel: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back Lugano to win (1): the hosts average 1.78 goals scored and only 1.11 conceded per home match, with a +12 goal differential and a 61% home win rate. In their last 5 games Lugano have 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 4, equating to 2.0 points per game; Basel in the same period have won just 1 of 5, conceded 12 goals and average 0.6 points per game. Visitors create more chances on the road (avg xG 1.62, 14.44 shots and 5.39 on target), but a low conversion rate of 10% yields only 1.44 goals per match, whereas Lugano with xG 1.31 and 11.44 shots benefit from 16% efficiency and average 1.78 goals. The hosts’ key advantage is defensive solidity and reliable goal scoring: Basel concede 1.83 goals away with an xG against of 1.98, and the visitors failed to score in 22% of away matches, while Lugano have 0% home matches without a goal. Considering form (2.0 vs 0.6 points per game), defensive edge and better shot efficiency, I assess Lugano at 65%, draw 20% and Basel 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lugano | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lugano is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Lugano · 0.6 pts / match - Basel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Lugano · 1.45 goals / match - Basel
Lugano is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Lugano · 1.53 goals / match - Basel
Lugano scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Basel keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Basel scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lugano
Over / Under — Basel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Basel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lugano
Basel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Lugano | Liga | Basel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.66 | 3.29 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 19% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Lugano 2 - 1 - 0 Basel. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugano vs Basel?
The Super League match finished Lugano 4:0 Basel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lugano and Basel?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lugano won 2, Basel won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugano vs Basel?
Lugano score 1.55 goals per game on average and Basel 1.45. The Super League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Lugano's matches and 61% of Basel's.
What form are Lugano and Basel in?
Over the last 5 games Lugano have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Basel 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugano vs Basel?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lugano vs Basel: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.