Lugano vs Thun: match statistics
Lugano vs Thun: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lugano play Thun in Super League (Switzerland). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lugano: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Thun: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lugano scores 1.55 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Thun scores 2.11 and concedes 1.37. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lugano 61%, Thun 71%. Over 2.5: Lugano 47%, Thun 74%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Thun has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.49. Lugano: 13.3 shots per match, Thun: 17.1.
Match halves
Lugano: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.87. Thun: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Lugano: 61-75 (14 goals). Thun: 46-60 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Thun is the clear favorite: the team in 1st place has 23 wins this season versus Lugano's 14 (4th place) and has scored 72 goals compared to the hosts' 48. In the last 5 matches Thun has scored 12 goals and averages 2 points per game, while Lugano has 5 goals and only 1 point per game over the same sample. Quality-of-chances metrics also favor Thun: average away xG is 1.9 versus Lugano’s home xG of 1.28, and the visitors record 17.53 shots per game (5.47 on target) versus the hosts’ 11 shots (4.47 on target). Defensively Thun is slightly more stable — conceding 1.07 goals on average away versus Lugano’s 1.20 conceded at home and boasting 27% clean sheets versus the hosts’ 20%. Lugano’s strengths are possession (54% vs 47%) and a higher home shot conversion (18% vs 13%), which reduces the risk of an upset, but the superiority in goals, xG and form (PPG 2 vs 1 in the last 5) argue in favor of an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lugano | Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lugano is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Lugano · 0.2 pts / match - Thun
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Thun is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Lugano · 2.11 goals / match - Thun
Lugano is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Lugano · 1.37 goals / match - Thun
Lugano scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Thun scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lugano
Over / Under — Thun
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Thun is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Lugano · 1.61 pts / match - Thun
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Thun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lugano
Thun
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Lugano | Liga | Thun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.66 | 3.29 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 19% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Lugano 2 - 0 - 1 Thun. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugano vs Thun?
The Super League match finished Lugano 1:0 Thun. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lugano and Thun?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lugano won 2, Thun won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugano vs Thun?
Lugano score 1.55 goals per game on average and Thun 2.11. The Super League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Lugano's matches and 71% of Thun's.
What form are Lugano and Thun in?
Over the last 5 games Lugano have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Thun 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugano vs Thun?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lugano vs Thun: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.