Lugazi Municipal vs NEC: match statistics
Lugazi Municipal shows solid disposition in home matches, securing 50% victories and holding a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home match and have shown good form on their own turf in the last five meetings. NEC, despite a better table position and great recent form (2.2 points per match), has weak away statistics – only 22% wins and just 0.78 goals on average per away match. The visitors often draw on the road (44%), making a draw a real option; however, the hosts' advantage in home matches and NEC's poor scoring efficiency away argue for a victory for Lugazi Municipal. The expected goals (xG) result also favors the hosts (1.57 vs 1.24), confirming their advantage in this clash.
Lugazi Municipal vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lugazi Municipal played NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Lugazi Municipal: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. NEC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lugazi Municipal scores 0.83 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. NEC scores 1.06 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lugazi Municipal 39%, NEC 56%. Over 2.5: Lugazi Municipal 50%, NEC 28%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.39. Lugazi Municipal: 8.8 shots per match, NEC: 9.1.
Match halves
Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.39. NEC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (7 goals). NEC: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.15 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lugazi Municipal shows solid disposition in home matches, securing 50% victories and holding a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home match and have shown good form on their own turf in the last five meetings. NEC, despite a better table position and great recent form (2.2 points per match), has weak away statistics – only 22% wins and just 0.78 goals on average per away match. The visitors often draw on the road (44%), making a draw a real option; however, the hosts' advantage in home matches and NEC's poor scoring efficiency away argue for a victory for Lugazi Municipal. The expected goals (xG) result also favors the hosts (1.57 vs 1.24), confirming their advantage in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lugazi Municipal | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 2.2 pts / match - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.06 goals / match - NEC
NEC is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 0.89 goals / match - NEC
Lugazi Municipal scores in 44% of matches (8 of 18 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
NEC scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lugazi Municipal
Over / Under - NEC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.56 pts / match - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lugazi Municipal
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Lugazi Municipal | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.17 | 2.15 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 36% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 37% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lugazi Municipal 0 - 0 - 1 NEC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 0:2 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?
Lugazi Municipal score 0.83 goals per game on average and NEC 1.06. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 56% of NEC's.
What form are Lugazi Municipal and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and NEC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.