Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas: match statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 presents impressive home form with 70% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +6. The hosts score an average of 1.3 goals per match in front of their own crowd, and their xG (1.56) significantly exceeds the opponents' xG (0.89), indicating dominance in creating chances. Caldas has poor away results with only 30% wins and 60% losses, scoring on average just 0.7 goals with an xG of 1.07. Additionally, the visitors have failed to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS), which could be crucial given the hosts' solid defense (40% clean sheets). Recent form also favors Lusitano, who have won 4 of their last 5 home matches. The hosts' statistical advantage in possession (54% vs 47%) and shot efficiency (12% vs 10%) further reinforces the prediction of a home victory.
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lusitano Évora 1911 played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Caldas: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores 0.95 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Caldas scores 1.00 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lusitano Évora 1911 48%, Caldas 48%. Over 2.5: Lusitano Évora 1911 29%, Caldas 43%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Lusitano Évora 1911 has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.23. Lusitano Évora 1911: 10.1 shots per match, Caldas: 9.1.
Match halves
Lusitano Évora 1911: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57. Caldas: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Lusitano Évora 1911: 61-75 (5 goals). Caldas: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lusitano Évora 1911 presents impressive home form with 70% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +6. The hosts score an average of 1.3 goals per match in front of their own crowd, and their xG (1.56) significantly exceeds the opponents' xG (0.89), indicating dominance in creating chances. Caldas has poor away results with only 30% wins and 60% losses, scoring on average just 0.7 goals with an xG of 1.07. Additionally, the visitors have failed to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS), which could be crucial given the hosts' solid defense (40% clean sheets). Recent form also favors Lusitano, who have won 4 of their last 5 home matches. The hosts' statistical advantage in possession (54% vs 47%) and shot efficiency (12% vs 10%) further reinforces the prediction of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caldas is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1.8 pts / match - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caldas is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1 goals / match - Caldas
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1.24 goals / match - Caldas
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Caldas scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Lusitano Évora 1911 keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lusitano Évora 1911
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 0.86 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lusitano Évora 1911 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lusitano Évora 1911
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.22 | • 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 47% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 0 - 1 Caldas. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Lusitano Évora 1911 0:1 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lusitano Évora 1911 won 1, Caldas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?
Lusitano Évora 1911 score 0.95 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Lusitano Évora 1911's matches and 48% of Caldas's.
What form are Lusitano Évora 1911 and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Caldas 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.