Indonesia - Liga 1Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Madura United vs Bhayangkara: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Madura United vs Bhayangkara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Madura United play Bhayangkara in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium.

Current form

Madura United: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Bhayangkara: 1-3-0, 1.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Madura United scores 1.75 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Bhayangkara scores 1.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Madura United 50%, Bhayangkara 75%. Over 2.5: Madura United 50%, Bhayangkara 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Madura United: 12.0 shots per match, Bhayangkara: 11.8.

Match halves

Madura United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.50. Bhayangkara: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Madura United: 61-75 (3 goals). Bhayangkara: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 1: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.70)
(3.30)
(2.35)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Madura UnitedBhayangkara
1.75Goals scored / match1.75
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
1Goals conceded / match1.25
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
46%Average possession53%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
4.25Shots on target / match5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match11.75
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
4.25Shots on target5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
14.6%Shot conversion14.9%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
46%Possession53%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
1.5xG for1.5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
1.66xG against1.02
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

Shooting quality

Madura United: Counter-attackingBhayangkara: Efficient finishing
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
Accuracy (shots on target)35%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Madura United is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2.25 pts / match - Madura United · 1.5 pts / match - Bhayangkara

Madura United
WWWL
Season result split
75% W0% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Bhayangkara
DDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W75% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-0
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-0
1.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Madura United is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Madura United · 1.25 goals / match - Bhayangkara

Madura United scoring profile: very strong

Madura United scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Bhayangkara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

Bhayangkara scoring profile: very strong

Bhayangkara scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Madura United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

7Goals scored (season)7
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
4Goals conceded (season)5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
2.75Average goals in match3
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
75%2 goals75%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
25%3 goals0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0%4 goals0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
25%2 goals50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0%3 goals0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0%4 goals0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
25%Scored in both halves0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
50%BTTS - last 575%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bhayangkara is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Madura United · 1.75 pts / match - Bhayangkara

Madura United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Bhayangkara - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.75
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0.25Goals scored (1st half)1
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
1Average goals (1st half)1.5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
75%No goal before half-time50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

After half-time (2nd half)

2.5Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara
25%No goal after half-time50%
Madura UnitedBhayangkara

Madura United - second-half results

75% W25% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bhayangkara - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Madura United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.50
Goals scored / match0.31.5
Goals conceded / match0.80.3
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal75%75%
2 goals25%75%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet50%75%
No goal75%25%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 25% leading - 25% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 75% won - 25% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Bhayangkara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.751.50
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.50.8
Average goals in match1.51.5
1 goal75%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 50% leading - 25% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Madura United
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bhayangkara
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Madura United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Bhayangkara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).

Teams vs league

Madura UnitedLigaBhayangkara
Average goals in match▼ 2.752.92• 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%62%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%57%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 25%19%▲ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%73%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%81%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+39%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Madura United 0 - 1 - 1 Bhayangkara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Bhayangkara
3 : 1
Madura United
Madura United
0 : 0
Bhayangkara

FAQ

When do Madura United and Bhayangkara play?

Madura United face Bhayangkara on 16 October 2026 in Liga 1 at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Madura United and Bhayangkara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Madura United won 0, Bhayangkara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Madura United vs Bhayangkara?

Madura United score 1.75 goals per game on average and Bhayangkara 1.75. The Liga 1 average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Madura United's matches and 75% of Bhayangkara's.

What form are Madura United and Bhayangkara in?

Over the last 5 games Madura United have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Bhayangkara 1-3-0 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Madura United vs Bhayangkara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.