Germany - BundesligaMewa ArenaData current as of 20 October 2026

Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mainz 05 play Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Mewa Arena.

Current form

Mainz 05: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Werder Bremen: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mainz 05 scores 2.33 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Werder Bremen scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mainz 05 50%, Werder Bremen 100%. Over 2.5: Mainz 05 67%, Werder Bremen 83%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 74%.

xG, shots and style

Mainz 05 has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.64. Mainz 05: 17.7 shots per match, Werder Bremen: 14.0.

Match halves

Mainz 05: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17. Werder Bremen: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.83.

Goals by minute

Mainz 05: 76-90+ (6 goals). Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.69 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 74%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.84)
(4.27)
(4.21)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mainz 05Werder Bremen
2.33Goals scored / match2
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
1.67Goals conceded / match2
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
51%Average possession47%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
6Shots on target / match6.83
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.67Shots per match14
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
6Shots on target6.83
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
13.2%Shot conversion14.3%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
51%Possession47%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
1.92xG for1.64
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
1.34xG against1.78
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

Shooting quality

Mainz 05: AttackingWerder Bremen: Counter-attacking
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Accuracy (shots on target)34%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mainz 05
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Werder Bremen
WDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W50% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
LDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mainz 05 is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Mainz 05 · 2 goals / match - Werder Bremen

Mainz 05 is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Mainz 05 · 2 goals / match - Werder Bremen

Mainz 05 scoring profile: very strong

Mainz 05 scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Werder Bremen scoring profile: very strong

Werder Bremen scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

14Goals scored (season)12
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
10Goals conceded (season)12
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
4Average goals in match4
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
14Goals scored (last 5)11
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%2 goals67%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%3 goals33%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
33%4 goals0%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%2 goals67%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%3 goals17%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
17%4 goals17%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
33%BTTS in both halves0%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%Scored in both halves17%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mainz 05 is 173% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / match - Mainz 05 · 0.67 pts / match - Werder Bremen

Mainz 05 - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing
Werder Bremen - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per match (1st half)0.67
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.17
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)1
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
2Average goals (1st half)1.17
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
33%No goal before half-time83%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)2.17
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)1.83
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
2Average goals (2nd half)2.83
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
33%No goal after half-time0%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen

Mainz 05 - second-half results

17% W67% D17% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Werder Bremen - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mainz 05 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.42.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Werder Bremen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.60
Goals scored / match0.22.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.02.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mainz 05
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
3
0
16-30
4
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
1
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Werder Bremen
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
4
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mainz 05

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Werder Bremen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Mainz 05LigaWerder Bremen
Average goals in match▲ 4.003.69▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%59%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 67%74%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▲ 50%24%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time• 83%83%• 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%87%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.69
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
2.28
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
44%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Mainz 05 1 - 1 - 0 Werder Bremen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

SV Werder Bremen
0 : 2
1. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1
SV Werder Bremen

FAQ

When do Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen play?

Mainz 05 face Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Mewa Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mainz 05 won 1, Werder Bremen won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

Mainz 05 score 2.33 goals per game on average and Werder Bremen 2.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mainz 05's matches and 100% of Werder Bremen's.

What form are Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen in?

Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Werder Bremen 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

The statistical background for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.