Mantova vs Carrarese: match statistics
Mantova displays significantly better home form than Carrarese does in away matches. The hosts win 38% of their home games and have an advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.31), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Carrarese is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per match in their last five games and loses 54% of their away matches. The visitors have scored only one goal in their last five matches, confirming their attacking woes. Mantova also has an advantage in possession (62% vs 49%) and better shooting accuracy in home games. The goal difference of both teams (-6 for Mantova at home vs -11 for Carrarese away) further favors the hosts, who should exploit the visitors' weakness and secure three valuable points.
Mantova vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova played Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mantova: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Carrarese: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.19 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 54%, Carrarese 46%. Over 2.5: Mantova 50%, Carrarese 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.42. Mantova: 14.4 shots per match, Carrarese: 12.9.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62. Carrarese: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (10 goals). Carrarese: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mantova displays significantly better home form than Carrarese does in away matches. The hosts win 38% of their home games and have an advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.31), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Carrarese is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per match in their last five games and loses 54% of their away matches. The visitors have scored only one goal in their last five matches, confirming their attacking woes. Mantova also has an advantage in possession (62% vs 49%) and better shooting accuracy in home games. The goal difference of both teams (-6 for Mantova at home vs -11 for Carrarese away) further favors the hosts, who should exploit the visitors' weakness and secure three valuable points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mantova is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mantova · 0.2 pts / match - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Mantova · 1.19 goals / match - Carrarese
Carrarese is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Mantova · 1.38 goals / match - Carrarese
Mantova scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Carrarese scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrarese is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Mantova · 1.04 pts / match - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.48 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mantova 0 - 1 - 0 Carrarese. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 1:1 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Carrarese?
Mantova score 1.00 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.19. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Mantova's matches and 46% of Carrarese's.
What form are Mantova and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carrarese 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Carrarese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Carrarese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.