Mantova vs Carrarese: match statistics
Mantova displays significantly better home form than Carrarese does in away matches. The hosts win 38% of their home games and have an advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.31), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Carrarese is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per match in their last five games and loses 54% of their away matches. The visitors have scored only one goal in their last five matches, confirming their attacking woes. Mantova also has an advantage in possession (62% vs 49%) and better shooting accuracy in home games. The goal difference of both teams (-6 for Mantova at home vs -11 for Carrarese away) further favors the hosts, who should exploit the visitors' weakness and secure three valuable points.
Mantova vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova play Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mantova: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 1.18 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 50%, Carrarese 47%. Over 2.5: Mantova 53%, Carrarese 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.43. Mantova: 14.1 shots per match, Carrarese: 13.3.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.63. Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (15 goals). Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mantova displays significantly better home form than Carrarese does in away matches. The hosts win 38% of their home games and have an advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.31), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Carrarese is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per match in their last five games and loses 54% of their away matches. The visitors have scored only one goal in their last five matches, confirming their attacking woes. Mantova also has an advantage in possession (62% vs 49%) and better shooting accuracy in home games. The goal difference of both teams (-6 for Mantova at home vs -11 for Carrarese away) further favors the hosts, who should exploit the visitors' weakness and secure three valuable points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mantova is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mantova · 0.4 pts / match - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Mantova · 1.24 goals / match - Carrarese
Carrarese is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Mantova · 1.37 goals / match - Carrarese
Mantova scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mantova
Over / Under — Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mantova is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Mantova · 0.92 pts / match - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.55 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mantova 0 - 1 - 0 Carrarese. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 1:1 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Carrarese?
Mantova score 1.18 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.24. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mantova's matches and 47% of Carrarese's.
What form are Mantova and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Carrarese 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Carrarese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Carrarese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.