Italy - Serie BStadio Danilo MartelliData current as of 16 October 2026

Mantova vs Palermo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mantova vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mantova play Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli.

Current form

Mantova: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Palermo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mantova scores 2.17 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Palermo scores 2.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mantova 83%, Palermo 83%. Over 2.5: Mantova 67%, Palermo 67%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Palermo has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.45. Mantova: 12.8 shots per match, Palermo: 18.8.

Match halves

Mantova: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.33. Palermo: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.

Goals by minute

Mantova: 46-60 (3 goals). Palermo: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.05)
(3.44)
(2.22)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.17Goals scored / match2.33
MantovaPalermo
1Goals conceded / match1.17
MantovaPalermo
49%Average possession53%
MantovaPalermo
5.5Shots on target / match6.5
MantovaPalermo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.83Shots per match18.83
MantovaPalermo
5.5Shots on target6.5
MantovaPalermo
16.9%Shot conversion12.4%
MantovaPalermo
49%Possession53%
MantovaPalermo
1.45xG for1.99
MantovaPalermo
1.38xG against1.44
MantovaPalermo

Shooting quality

Mantova: Efficient finishingPalermo: Attacking
MantovaPalermo
Accuracy (shots on target)43%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palermo is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Mantova · 2.6 pts / match - Palermo

Mantova
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Palermo
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
83% W17% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-0
2.67 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

2.17 goals / match - Mantova · 2.33 goals / match - Palermo

Mantova is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Mantova · 1.17 goals / match - Palermo

Mantova scoring profile: very strong

Mantova scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

13Goals scored (season)14
MantovaPalermo
6Goals conceded (season)7
MantovaPalermo
3.17Average goals in match3.5
MantovaPalermo
11Goals scored (last 5)13
MantovaPalermo
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
MantovaPalermo

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
MantovaPalermo
83%2 goals67%
MantovaPalermo
33%3 goals50%
MantovaPalermo
0%4 goals17%
MantovaPalermo

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
MantovaPalermo
17%2 goals33%
MantovaPalermo
0%3 goals0%
MantovaPalermo
0%4 goals0%
MantovaPalermo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
MantovaPalermo
17%BTTS in both halves0%
MantovaPalermo
50%Scored in both halves50%
MantovaPalermo

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
MantovaPalermo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MantovaPalermo
80%BTTS - last 5100%
MantovaPalermo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
MantovaPalermo
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MantovaPalermo
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MantovaPalermo

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
MantovaPalermo
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
MantovaPalermo
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
MantovaPalermo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mantova - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Palermo - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)2
MantovaPalermo
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.83
MantovaPalermo
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
MantovaPalermo
1Average goals (1st half)1
MantovaPalermo
83%Clean sheet before half-time83%
MantovaPalermo
33%No goal before half-time33%
MantovaPalermo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.67
MantovaPalermo
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
MantovaPalermo
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1
MantovaPalermo
2.17Average goals (2nd half)2.5
MantovaPalermo
17%Clean sheet after half-time33%
MantovaPalermo
17%No goal after half-time17%
MantovaPalermo

Mantova - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Palermo - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mantova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Palermo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mantova
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
83%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mantova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
182%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

MantovaLigaPalermo
Average goals in match▲ 3.172.68▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▲ 83%62%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%22%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%63%▲ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Mantova 0 - 1 - 1 Palermo. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Mantova and Palermo play?

Mantova face Palermo on 17 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Danilo Martelli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mantova and Palermo?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0, Palermo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Palermo?

Mantova score 2.17 goals per game on average and Palermo 2.33. The Serie B average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Mantova's matches and 83% of Palermo's.

What form are Mantova and Palermo in?

Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Palermo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Palermo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Palermo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.