Maribor vs Aluminij: match statistics
Maribor vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Maribor played Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Ljudski vrt. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Maribor: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Aluminij: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Maribor scores 1.89 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Aluminij scores 1.56 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Maribor 56%, Aluminij 44%. Over 2.5: Maribor 44%, Aluminij 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Maribor has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.22. Maribor: 13.1 shots per match, Aluminij: 9.3.
Match halves
Maribor: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.00. Aluminij: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Maribor: 0-15 (6 goals). Aluminij: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Maribor are top of the table and remain unbeaten this season, recording 5 wins and 4 draws, while Aluminij have a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. The hosts are particularly strong at home: they win 75% of their matches, score an average of 2.25 goals and concede just 0.50, while also keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games. Their superiority is also evident in chance creation, with Maribor posting a home xG of 1.52 and an xG against of 0.92, whereas Aluminij allow opponents an away xG of 1.88 and have not kept a single clean sheet. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have collected 13 points from their last five matches and scored 17 goals, compared with Aluminij’s 7 points and 10 goals. The visitors can be effective away from home, averaging 3 goals per match, but they have failed to score in 33% of such fixtures, while their 39% possession should make it difficult for them to limit Maribor’s control.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - Yes is moderately positive, primarily due to Maribor’s current form: they have averaged 3.4 goals scored over their last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games. During this period, Aluminij averaged 2.0 goals scored per match while conceding 1.2, and their average xG against is a high 1.50. Maribor created chances worth 2.00 xG in their last five appearances, so they should take advantage of the fact that their opponents have kept no clean sheets this season. However, the pick carries additional risk due to Maribor’s season-long BTTS rate of only 33% and their average of 0.83 goals scored, meaning the advantage for the both-teams-to-score scenario is limited.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Maribor’s latest form clearly raises goal expectations: the team has scored an average of 3.4 goals in its last 5 matches, while conceding just 0.8. Aluminij also possesses attacking potential, averaging 2.0 goals over the same period, but concedes an average of 1.2 goals and allows opponents an xG of 1.50. Maribor have recently created chances worth 2.00 xG per match, while Aluminij’s average attacking xG stands at 1.18, supporting a scenario with at least two goals in total. The hosts’ season-long data is more conservative, with only 17% of their matches going Over 2.5 goals, so the edge is not strong enough for the Over 2.5 market. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as the current form of both teams and the projected total of 2.80 goals give it a clear advantage.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Maribor leading at the break and securing the final victory (1/1), as the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals while conceding just 0.8. During this period, Maribor led at half-time in 60% of matches, scored an average of 1.6 goals before the break, and failed to score in only 20% of cases. In their last five appearances, Aluminij led at half-time just once, drew in 60% of matches, and conceded an average of 0.8 goals after the break. The hosts’ superior form is also evident in the second half: Maribor scored 1.8 goals per match after the interval and kept a clean sheet in 80% of games, supporting their ability to maintain the lead they had established.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Maribor | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Maribor is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Maribor · 1.4 pts / match - Aluminij
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Maribor is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Maribor · 1.56 goals / match - Aluminij
Maribor is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Maribor · 1 goals / match - Aluminij
Maribor scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Aluminij scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Maribor
Over / Under - Aluminij
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Maribor is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Maribor · 1.56 pts / match - Aluminij
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Maribor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Maribor
Aluminij
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Maribor | Liga | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.64 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 71% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Maribor 2 - 2 - 1 Aluminij. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Maribor vs Aluminij?
The PrvaLiga match finished Maribor 2:2 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Maribor and Aluminij?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Maribor won 2, Aluminij won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Maribor vs Aluminij?
Maribor score 1.89 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.56. The PrvaLiga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Maribor's matches and 44% of Aluminij's.
What form are Maribor and Aluminij in?
Over the last 5 games Maribor have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Aluminij 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Maribor vs Aluminij?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.