Marines vs Gicumbi: match statistics
Marines display solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The hosts maintain defensive efficiency, conceding an average of only 0.78 goals per match at home, with a 44% clean sheet rate. Gicumbi, on the other hand, perform significantly worse on the road, with only a 33% win rate and a high loss ratio (56%), conceding an average of 1.44 goals per away match. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts - Marines average 1 point per match, while Gicumbi only 0.8 points. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score away from home (44% of matches without a goal), which, combined with Marines' solid defense, gives the hosts a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point to a Marines victory.
Marines vs Gicumbi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marines played Gicumbi in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Marines: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Gicumbi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marines scores 1.11 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Gicumbi scores 1.21 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marines 42%, Gicumbi 63%. Over 2.5: Marines 32%, Gicumbi 53%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Marines has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.08. Marines: 8.0 shots per match, Gicumbi: 6.3.
Match halves
Marines: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.53. Gicumbi: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Marines: 76-90+ (7 goals). Gicumbi: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.04 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marines display solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The hosts maintain defensive efficiency, conceding an average of only 0.78 goals per match at home, with a 44% clean sheet rate. Gicumbi, on the other hand, perform significantly worse on the road, with only a 33% win rate and a high loss ratio (56%), conceding an average of 1.44 goals per away match. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts - Marines average 1 point per match, while Gicumbi only 0.8 points. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score away from home (44% of matches without a goal), which, combined with Marines' solid defense, gives the hosts a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point to a Marines victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marines | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marines is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Marines · 0.8 pts / match - Gicumbi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gicumbi is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Marines · 1.21 goals / match - Gicumbi
Marines is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Marines · 1.58 goals / match - Gicumbi
Marines scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Gicumbi scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marines
Over / Under - Gicumbi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Marines · 1.21 pts / match - Gicumbi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marines - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gicumbi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marines
Gicumbi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Marines | Liga | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.05 | 2.04 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 41% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 37% | 36% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 63% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marines 0 - 0 - 1 Gicumbi. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marines vs Gicumbi?
The National Soccer League match finished Marines 1:1 Gicumbi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Gicumbi?
Marines score 1.11 goals per game on average and Gicumbi 1.21. The National Soccer League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Marines's matches and 63% of Gicumbi's.
What form are Marines and Gicumbi in?
Over the last 5 games Marines have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gicumbi 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Gicumbi?
The statistical background for Marines vs Gicumbi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.