Latvia - 1. LigaData current as of 20 October 2026

Mārupe vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Mārupe vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mārupe play Beitar / Riga Mariners in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 24 October 2026.

Current form

Mārupe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Beitar / Riga Mariners: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mārupe scores 1.61 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 2.35 and concedes 1.30. League average: 3.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mārupe 48%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 65%. Over 2.5: Mārupe 70%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 74%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

xG, shots and style

Beitar / Riga Mariners has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.40. Mārupe: 8.7 shots per match, Beitar / Riga Mariners: 12.2.

Match halves

Mārupe: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.09. Beitar / Riga Mariners: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.22.

Goals by minute

Mārupe: 76-90+ (13 goals). Beitar / Riga Mariners: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.71 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.61Goals scored / match2.35
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.48Goals conceded / match1.3
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
43%Average possession48%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
3.74Shots on target / match5.7
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.7Shots per match12.17
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
3.74Shots on target5.7
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
18.5%Shot conversion19.3%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
43%Possession48%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.4xG for1.84
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.39xG against1.33
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

Shooting quality

Mārupe: Counter-attackingBeitar / Riga Mariners: Efficient finishing
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
Accuracy (shots on target)43%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Beitar / Riga Mariners is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Mārupe · 1.8 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Mārupe
LWDWD
Season result split
43% W13% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-3-10
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.89Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Beitar / Riga Mariners
WLWLW
Season result split
65% W22% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-5-3
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-1-3
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Beitar / Riga Mariners is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

1.61 goals / match - Mārupe · 2.35 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Beitar / Riga Mariners is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Mārupe · 1.3 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Mārupe scoring profile: strong

Mārupe scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).

Beitar / Riga Mariners scoring profile: very strong

Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

37Goals scored (season)54
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
34Goals conceded (season)30
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
3.09Average goals in match3.65
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
8Goals scored (last 5)14
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
4Goals conceded (last 5)13
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal96%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
48%2 goals70%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
22%3 goals43%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
17%4 goals22%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal70%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
43%2 goals39%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
22%3 goals13%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
17%4 goals9%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
Beitar / Riga Mariners - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 23 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time26%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
4%BTTS in both halves9%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
17%Scored in both halves43%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
20%BTTS - last 560%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time35%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Beitar / Riga Mariners is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - Mārupe · 1.74 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Mārupe - half-time state
17% leading39% draw43% trailing
Beitar / Riga Mariners - half-time state
52% leading17% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)1.74
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
0.52Goals scored (1st half)1.04
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.7
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
52%Clean sheet before half-time57%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
70%No goal before half-time30%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.87
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)1.22
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.78
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
52%Clean sheet after half-time52%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners
43%No goal after half-time35%
MārupeBeitar / Riga Mariners

Mārupe - second-half results

35% W26% D39% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding253%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results

57% W17% D26% L
40
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mārupe - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match2.00.4
1 goal60%20%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Beitar / Riga Mariners - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match1.80.8
Average goals in match3.02.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%80%
3 goals100%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mārupe
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
7
61-75
13
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Beitar / Riga Mariners
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
14
5
31-45
7
7
46-60
11
4
61-75
10
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mārupe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Beitar / Riga Mariners

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

MārupeLigaBeitar / Riga Mariners
Average goals in match▼ 3.093.71• 3.65
Both teams scored▼ 48%63%▲ 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 70%70%▲ 74%
Clean sheets▲ 35%20%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%76%▲ 87%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%83%▲ 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.71
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
2.04
Home goals / match
1.66
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
60%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Mārupe 0 - 0 - 3 Beitar / Riga Mariners. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Beitar / Riga Mariners
2 : 0
Mārupe
FK Beitar / Riga Mariners
3 : 1
FK Mārupe
FK Mārupe
1 : 2
FK Beitar / Riga Mariners

FAQ

When do Mārupe and Beitar / Riga Mariners play?

Mārupe face Beitar / Riga Mariners on 24 October 2026 in 1. Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mārupe and Beitar / Riga Mariners?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mārupe won 0, Beitar / Riga Mariners won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mārupe vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?

Mārupe score 1.61 goals per game on average and Beitar / Riga Mariners 2.35. The 1. Liga average is 3.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Mārupe's matches and 65% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's.

What form are Mārupe and Beitar / Riga Mariners in?

Over the last 5 games Mārupe have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Beitar / Riga Mariners 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mārupe vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mārupe vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.