Latvia - 1. LigaData current as of 08 September 2026

Mārupe vs Tukums II: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mārupe vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mārupe play Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Mārupe: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Tukums II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mārupe scores 1.53 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Tukums II scores 1.28 and concedes 3.00. League average: 3.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mārupe 53%, Tukums II 72%. Over 2.5: Mārupe 74%, Tukums II 72%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 70%.

xG, shots and style

Tukums II has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.49. Mārupe: 9.6 shots per match, Tukums II: 9.9.

Match halves

Mārupe: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.21. Tukums II: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Mārupe: 76-90+ (11 goals). Tukums II: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.68 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 70%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.53Goals scored / match1.28
MārupeTukums II
1.68Goals conceded / match3
MārupeTukums II
45%Average possession40%
MārupeTukums II
4.16Shots on target / match4.06
MārupeTukums II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.63Shots per match9.94
MārupeTukums II
4.16Shots on target4.06
MārupeTukums II
15.8%Shot conversion12.8%
MārupeTukums II
45%Possession40%
MārupeTukums II
1.49xG for1.5
MārupeTukums II
1.34xG against1.94
MārupeTukums II

Shooting quality

Mārupe: Counter-attackingTukums II: Counter-attacking
MārupeTukums II
Accuracy (shots on target)43%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mārupe is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Mārupe · 0.2 pts / match - Tukums II

Mārupe
LLWLL
Season result split
42% W5% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-10
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Tukums II
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W17% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-12
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-7
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 4.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 2.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mārupe is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Mārupe · 1.28 goals / match - Tukums II

Mārupe is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.68 goals / match - Mārupe · 3 goals / match - Tukums II

Mārupe scoring profile: very strong

Mārupe scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).

Tukums II scoring profile: very strong

Tukums II scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

29Goals scored (season)23
MārupeTukums II
32Goals conceded (season)54
MārupeTukums II
3.21Average goals in match4.28
MārupeTukums II
5Goals scored (last 5)5
MārupeTukums II
12Goals conceded (last 5)23
MārupeTukums II

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal83%
MārupeTukums II
47%2 goals33%
MārupeTukums II
16%3 goals6%
MārupeTukums II
16%4 goals6%
MārupeTukums II

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal89%
MārupeTukums II
47%2 goals72%
MārupeTukums II
26%3 goals56%
MārupeTukums II
21%4 goals33%
MārupeTukums II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time33%
MārupeTukums II
5%BTTS in both halves6%
MārupeTukums II
16%Scored in both halves17%
MārupeTukums II

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
MārupeTukums II
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
MārupeTukums II
60%BTTS - last 560%
MārupeTukums II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
MārupeTukums II
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time61%
MārupeTukums II
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
MārupeTukums II

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MārupeTukums II
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
MārupeTukums II
53%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
MārupeTukums II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mārupe is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.84 pts / match - Mārupe · 0.56 pts / match - Tukums II

Mārupe - half-time state
16% leading37% draw47% trailing
Tukums II - half-time state
11% leading22% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.84Points per match (1st half)0.56
MārupeTukums II
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.5
MārupeTukums II
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)1.67
MārupeTukums II
1.05Average goals (1st half)2.17
MārupeTukums II
47%Clean sheet before half-time22%
MārupeTukums II
74%No goal before half-time61%
MārupeTukums II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)0.94
MārupeTukums II
1.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
MārupeTukums II
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
MārupeTukums II
2.16Average goals (2nd half)2.11
MārupeTukums II
42%Clean sheet after half-time28%
MārupeTukums II
37%No goal after half-time39%
MārupeTukums II

Mārupe - second-half results

37% W16% R47% P
16
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding263%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tukums II - second-half results

28% W11% R61% P
10
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mārupe - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-6-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tukums II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match3.21.4
Average goals in match3.81.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-13-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mārupe
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Tukums II
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
3
11
16-30
5
13
31-45
3
8
46-60
3
8
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mārupe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Tukums II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
149%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

MārupeLigaTukums II
Average goals in match 3.213.68 4.28
Both teams scored 53%64% 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 74%70% 72%
Clean sheets 26%20% 11%
Goal before half-time 68%77% 83%
Goal after half-time 89%85% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.68
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
2.01
Home goals / match
1.67
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
61%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Mārupe 3 - 0 - 0 Tukums II. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Tukums II
1 : 2
Mārupe
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
1 : 2
FK Mārupe
FK Mārupe
1 : 0
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II

FAQ

When do Mārupe and Tukums II play?

Mārupe face Tukums II on 12 September 2026 in 1. Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mārupe and Tukums II?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mārupe won 3, Tukums II won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mārupe vs Tukums II?

Mārupe score 1.53 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.28. The 1. Liga average is 3.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Mārupe's matches and 72% of Tukums II's.

What form are Mārupe and Tukums II in?

Over the last 5 games Mārupe have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Tukums II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mārupe vs Tukums II?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.