Masr vs Al Ahly: match statistics

Al Ahly are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that run, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Masr have managed just one win over the same period, scoring 2 goals and suffering 2 defeats, with their recent run ending in two consecutive losses. The visitors conceded 1 goal per match in their last five games (5 in total), while the hosts scored just 0.4 goals per game, highlighting their limited attacking efficiency. The start of the current season also favors Al Ahly, who won their only league match so far 3:2, whereas Masr drew 0:0. The visitors’ attacking advantage and significantly more stable results trend make them the favorites, although Masr’s low scoring output also increases the likelihood of a tight, cautious encounter.

The strongest signal is Masr’s very low attacking efficiency over the last five matches: the team scored an average of just 0.4 goals, while its average xG stood at 0.82. BTTS occurred in only 20% of the matches involving both teams during this period, well below the league average of 40%. Al Ahly are in significantly better attacking form, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last five outings, so they could decide the result on their own. At the same time, Al Ahly conceded an average of 1.0 goal during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 1.10, but Masr’s weak attack limits the likelihood of those chances being converted. Therefore, the more likely scenario is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team—most notably Masr—will fail to score.

Masr’s latest form is clearly weak in attack: in their last five matches, the team scored just 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per game, with an xG of 0.82. Al Ahly averaged 2.2 goals during this period and won four of their last five matches, but Masr conceded only 0.8 goals per game. Al Ahly’s xG stands at 1.39, while Masr allows opponents 1.47 xG, supporting a scenario of around 1–2 goals for the visitors, but not a high-scoring game. Masr have not exceeded 2.5 total goals in any of their last five matches, and both teams scored in only 20% of those games. With a forecast of 2.20 total goals for the match, the safest pick is Under 3.5 goals.

Al Ahly have been clearly stronger in their last five matches: they have won 80% of their games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceding just 1.0, while Masr are scoring only 0.4 goals per match. The visitors’ advantage is already evident before half-time, as they were leading at the break in 60% of their recent matches, averaging 1.2 first-half goals, while Masr failed to score in this period. Masr were level at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, so the draw/away win HT/FT outcome remains a relevant alternative, although the hosts’ weak attack limits their chances of completing a turnaround. Al Ahly maintain their advantage after the break, recording an 80% win rate in the second half and averaging 1.0 goal, which is why the most likely scenario is for the visitors to lead at half-time and secure the full-time win.