Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueRuaraka StadiumData current as of 22 October 2026

Mathare United vs Homeboyz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mathare United vs Homeboyz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mathare United play Homeboyz in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Ruaraka Stadium.

Current form

Mathare United: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Homeboyz: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mathare United scores 0.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Homeboyz scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mathare United 0%, Homeboyz 50%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 0%, Homeboyz 0%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Homeboyz has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.17. Mathare United: 8.5 shots per match, Homeboyz: 16.5.

Match halves

Mathare United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Homeboyz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Mathare United: 0-15 (0 goals). Homeboyz: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0Goals scored / match1
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0.5Goals conceded / match0.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
47%Average possession52%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
3Shots on target / match3.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.5Shots per match16.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
3Shots on target3.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%Shot conversion6.1%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
47%Possession52%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
1.17xG for1.93
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
1.42xG against0.85
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

Shooting quality

Mathare United: BalancedHomeboyz: Attacking
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
Accuracy (shots on target)35%21%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Homeboyz is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.5 pts / match - Mathare United · 2 pts / match - Homeboyz

Mathare United
DL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Homeboyz
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.93Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mathare United scoring profile: more difficult

Mathare United scores in 0% of matches (0 of 2 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Homeboyz scoring profile: very strong

Homeboyz scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

0Goals scored (season)2
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
1Goals conceded (season)1
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0.5Average goals in match1.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0Goals scored (last 5)2
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
1Goals conceded (last 5)1
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

How often they score at least...

0%1 goal100%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%2 goals0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%3 goals0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%2 goals0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%3 goals0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%Scored in both halves0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%BTTS - last 550%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mathare United is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Mathare United · 0.5 pts / match - Homeboyz

Mathare United - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Homeboyz - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0Goals scored (1st half)0
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0Average goals (1st half)0.5
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
100%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
100%No goal before half-time100%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)3
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0Goals scored (2nd half)1
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
0.5Average goals (2nd half)1
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
50%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz
100%No goal after half-time0%
Mathare UnitedHomeboyz

Mathare United - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Homeboyz - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mathare United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.50
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match0.00.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Homeboyz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.503.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.50.0
Average goals in match0.51.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mathare United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Homeboyz
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
45%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+150%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mathare United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.92
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Homeboyz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.93
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mathare UnitedLigaHomeboyz
Average goals in match▼ 0.502.24▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▼ 0%53%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%35%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 50%32%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 0%47%▲ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Mathare United 2 - 0 - 2 Homeboyz. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Homeboyz
3 : 0
Mathare United
Homeboyz
3 : 0
Mathare United
Mathare United
2 : 0
Homeboyz
Mathare United
2 : 0
Homeboyz

FAQ

When do Mathare United and Homeboyz play?

Mathare United face Homeboyz on 25 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Ruaraka Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mathare United and Homeboyz?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 2, Homeboyz won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Homeboyz?

Mathare United score 0.00 goals per game on average and Homeboyz 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Mathare United's matches and 50% of Homeboyz's.

What form are Mathare United and Homeboyz in?

Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Homeboyz 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Homeboyz?

The statistical background for Mathare United vs Homeboyz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.