Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueKakyeka StadiumData current as of 24 July 2026

Mbarara City vs Buhimba United Saints: match statistics

Mbarara City vs Buhimba United Saints: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mbarara City play Buhimba United Saints in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 19 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Kakyeka Stadium. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Mbarara City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Buhimba United Saints: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mbarara City scores 0.87 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Buhimba United Saints scores 0.55 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mbarara City 57%, Buhimba United Saints 24%. Over 2.5: Mbarara City 40%, Buhimba United Saints 45%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Mbarara City has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.07. Mbarara City: 8.2 shots per match, Buhimba United Saints: 6.3.

Match halves

Mbarara City: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.47. Buhimba United Saints: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.34.

Goals by minute

Mbarara City: 61-75 (6 goals). Buhimba United Saints: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Mbarara City holds a clear advantage: the hosts have scored 23 goals this season (6 in the last 5 matches) and secured 2 wins in those 5, while Buhimba United Saints have 16 goals this season and only 1 goal in the last 5 (0 wins, 5 losses). At home Mbarara averages 0.86 goals per match, attempts 9.33 shots with 3.58 on target and has a 10% conversion rate, whereas the visitors away attempt only 6.3 shots, 2.8 on target and have 6% efficiency. Defensively Buhimba is very vulnerable: they concede an average of 2.92 goals away and allow 2.16 xG per match, while also having 69% of matches without scoring, whereas Mbarara concedes 1.21 goals at home and has 1.5 xG against. Additionally the hosts generate 1.46 xG at home and have averaged 1.4 points per match in the last 5, while the visitors have 0 points in the last 5 and an away goal difference of -31, underlining their weakness. Therefore a home win is more likely than a draw or an away victory.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

73Possession (%)27
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
14Shots1
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
5Shots on target0
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
1.82xG0.23
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
3Corners1
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
80Dangerous attacks21
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
18Fouls6
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0Cards0
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0.87Goals scored / match0.55
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
1.57Goals conceded / match2.17
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
43%Average possession37%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
2.67Shots on target / match2.45
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.23Shots per match6.28
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
2.67Shots on target2.45
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
10.5%Shot conversion8.8%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
43%Possession37%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
1.31xG for1.07
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
1.58xG against1.86
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

Shooting quality

Mbarara City: BalancedBuhimba United Saints: Balanced
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
Accuracy (shots on target)32%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mbarara City
WWLWL
Season result split
20% W27% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-16
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Buhimba United Saints
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W10% R76% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-22
0.52 pts / match · goal difference -47
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-12
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mbarara City is 58% better for: goals scored per match.

0.87 goals / match - Mbarara City · 0.55 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints

Mbarara City is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - Mbarara City · 2.17 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints

Mbarara City scoring profile: very strong

Mbarara City scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Buhimba United Saints keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).

Buhimba United Saints scoring profile: mixed

Buhimba United Saints scores in 38% of matches (11 of 29 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

26Goals scored (season)16
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
47Goals conceded (season)63
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
2.43Average goals in match2.72
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
7Goals scored (last 5)0
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
8Goals conceded (last 5)13
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal38%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
17%2 goals14%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0%3 goals3%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0%4 goals0%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal83%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
40%2 goals66%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
20%3 goals34%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
10%4 goals21%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

24%
Buhimba United Saints - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 29 matches
38%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time10%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
10%Scored in both halves3%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
60%BTTS - last 50%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mbarara City is 127% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / match - Mbarara City · 0.41 pts / match - Buhimba United Saints

Mbarara City - half-time state
13% leading53% draw33% trailing
Buhimba United Saints - half-time state
3% leading31% draw66% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per match (1st half)0.41
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.17
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)1.31
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.48
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
53%Clean sheet before half-time28%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
70%No goal before half-time86%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)0.69
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.34
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.21
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
43%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints
53%No goal after half-time76%
Mbarara CityBuhimba United Saints

Mbarara City - second-half results

20% W37% R43% P
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Buhimba United Saints - second-half results

10% W38% R52% P
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-33
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding467%

Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mbarara City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Buhimba United Saints - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-6-7
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
10
46-60
6
6
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Buhimba United Saints
ScoredConceded
1
12
0-15
2
12
16-30
3
14
31-45
5
5
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
189%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Buhimba United Saints

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
172%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mbarara CityLigaBuhimba United Saints
Average goals in match 2.432.09 2.72
Both teams scored 57%38% 24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%35% 45%
Clean sheets 20%39% 17%
Goal before half-time 60%59% 76%
Goal after half-time 77%62% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mbarara City 1 - 0 - 0 Buhimba United Saints. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Mbarara City vs Buhimba United Saints?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Mbarara City 2:0 Buhimba United Saints. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mbarara City vs Buhimba United Saints?

Mbarara City score 0.87 goals per game on average and Buhimba United Saints 0.55. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Mbarara City's matches and 24% of Buhimba United Saints's.

What form are Mbarara City and Buhimba United Saints in?

Over the last 5 games Mbarara City have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Buhimba United Saints 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbarara City vs Buhimba United Saints?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.