Mbarara City vs Vipers: match statistics
Vipers SC, the table leader with an impressive record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, is the decisive favorite for this clash. The visiting team presents dominant form, earning an average of 2.2 points per match in their last five games, with only 3 goals conceded. Mbarara City occupies just 13th place in the table with a negative goal difference (-14 overall) and weak home form – only 25% of matches won at home and barely 0.8 points per match in their last five appearances. Vipers also stand out with higher efficiency (15% shot conversion versus 7% for the hosts) and better xG statistics (1.71 vs 1.48). Given the immense difference in class, form, and league position, an away victory is the most probable scenario.
Mbarara City vs Vipers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbarara City played Vipers in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mbarara City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Vipers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbarara City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Vipers scores 2.12 and concedes 0.53. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbarara City 56%, Vipers 53%. Over 2.5: Mbarara City 28%, Vipers 47%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Vipers has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.41. Mbarara City: 8.6 shots per match, Vipers: 11.2.
Match halves
Mbarara City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.44. Vipers: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Mbarara City: 16-30 (4 goals). Vipers: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vipers SC, the table leader with an impressive record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, is the decisive favorite for this clash. The visiting team presents dominant form, earning an average of 2.2 points per match in their last five games, with only 3 goals conceded. Mbarara City occupies just 13th place in the table with a negative goal difference (-14 overall) and weak home form – only 25% of matches won at home and barely 0.8 points per match in their last five appearances. Vipers also stand out with higher efficiency (15% shot conversion versus 7% for the hosts) and better xG statistics (1.71 vs 1.48). Given the immense difference in class, form, and league position, an away victory is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbarara City | Vipers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vipers is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mbarara City · 2.2 pts / match - Vipers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vipers is 172% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Mbarara City · 2.12 goals / match - Vipers
Vipers is 194% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Mbarara City · 0.53 goals / match - Vipers
Mbarara City scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Vipers keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Vipers scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mbarara City
Over / Under - Vipers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vipers is 226% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.72 pts / match - Mbarara City · 2.35 pts / match - Vipers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vipers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +11 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbarara City
Vipers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mbarara City | Liga | Vipers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.33 | 2.18 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 36% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 36% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- VipersGoalYunus Sentamu
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mbarara City 0 - 0 - 1 Vipers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Vipers?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Mbarara City 1:2 Vipers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Mbarara City score 0.78 goals per game on average and Vipers 2.12. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Mbarara City's matches and 53% of Vipers's.
What form are Mbarara City and Vipers in?
Over the last 5 games Mbarara City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Vipers 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbarara City vs Vipers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.