Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl play Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 37%, Ethiopian Medhin 43%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 26%, Ethiopian Medhin 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.12. Mebrat Hayl: 7.0 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back Mebrat Hayl to win (1): the hosts possess a clear defensive edge at home — conceding just 0.31 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 69% of games, whereas Ethiopian Medhin average 1.00 goal scored away and have 31% clean sheets. The table gap (6th vs 19th) and recent form reinforce this advantage: Mebrat average 2.0 points in their last 5 and have won 3 of those, while the visitors average 1.2 points with only 1 win. The home attack is limited — they score 0.77 goals at home with xG 1.11 and have 54% goalless matches, while the visitors display xG 1.31 and average 3.31 shots on target away, posing some threat. Considering the hosts’ very low goals conceded average and their statistical tendency to draw at home (46% draws), I expect a low, controlled game ending with a narrow Mebrat Hayl victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mebrat Hayl is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Mebrat Hayl is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mebrat Hayl 0 - 1 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 1:1 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.84 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.78. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.