Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Mekelakeya sits third in the table and boasts a solid home record with 50% clean sheets and an average of just 0.67 goals conceded per home game. However, their recent form is concerning, with only one win in the last five matches and a 50% draw rate in home games this season. Despite their 15th position, Ethiopia Bunna is showing improved form, recording two wins and two draws in their last five fixtures. The visitors hold an impressive 60% draw rate in away matches alongside a solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per away game). xG statistics suggest a balanced contest (1.4 vs 1.04), while the visitors' high possession (68%) indicates controlled gameplay. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and Ethiopia Bunna's recent stability on the road, a share of the points is the most likely scenario.
Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya played Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 31 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ethiopia Bunna: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.50 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.82 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 58%, Ethiopia Bunna 45%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 42%, Ethiopia Bunna 36%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.26. Mekelakeya: 9.3 shots per match, Ethiopia Bunna: 7.9.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.33. Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ethiopia Bunna: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya sits third in the table and boasts a solid home record with 50% clean sheets and an average of just 0.67 goals conceded per home game. However, their recent form is concerning, with only one win in the last five matches and a 50% draw rate in home games this season. Despite their 15th position, Ethiopia Bunna is showing improved form, recording two wins and two draws in their last five fixtures. The visitors hold an impressive 60% draw rate in away matches alongside a solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per away game). xG statistics suggest a balanced contest (1.4 vs 1.04), while the visitors' high possession (68%) indicates controlled gameplay. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and Ethiopia Bunna's recent stability on the road, a share of the points is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.6 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.82 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelakeya is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 1 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelakeya scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.27 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.33 | 1.80 | • 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 44% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopia BunnaGoalDivine NwachukwuAssist: Abubakar Adamu
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 0:1 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Mekelakeya score 1.50 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Mekelakeya's matches and 45% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.